COTTON, THOMAS
R · house
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- FEC candidate id
H2AR04083- Internal id
3b86e03d-f95f-4bf0-8fe0-e2155a0675c8- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AR-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 748,462 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $52,605 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $29,072 |
| Income | In poverty | 18.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.470 |
| Race | White alone | 69.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 19.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.7% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 7.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 3.6% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 93.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 5.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 57.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 19.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 6.4% |
| Household | Family households | 63.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.44 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $143,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $814 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 69.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 17.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 20.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 81.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 15.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 81.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 5.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $5,406,040 | $3,069,824 | $9,787,086 | $73,959 | $2,747,248 |
| 2024 | $2,488,964 | $2,821,993 | $7,450,870 | $73,959 | $1,537,499 |
| 2022 | $4,878,969 | $3,492,023 | $7,783,899 | $73,959 | $3,356,793 |
| 2020 | $9,139,905 | $4,842,303 | $6,396,953 | $73,959 | $6,395,453 |
| 2018 | $2,678,692 | $851,187 | $2,099,352 | $73,959 | $1,083,748 |
| 2016 | $1,170,418 | $1,151,866 | $271,846 | $105,862 | $678,477 |
| 2014 | $13,911,690 | $13,814,167 | $215,874 | $447,694 | $10,892,504 |
| 2012 | $2,213,218 | $2,094,867 | $118,351 | $0 | $1,745,772 |
Elections
Committees
- COTTON FOR SENATE, INC. — principal · type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-10-22 | CADENCE BANK PAC | 24K | $2,500 |
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee COTTON FOR SENATE, INC..
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VON FURSTENBERG, ALEX | RANGER GLOBAL ADVISORS LLC · CIO | BEVERLY HILLS, CA | 1 | $7,000 |
| WHEELER, KURT C. MR. | BLACKSTONE · INVESTOR | RENO, NV | 1 | $7,000 |
| SMITH, IRIS | SELF-EMPLOYED · CREATIVE ARTS | BROOMFIELD, CO | 1 | $7,000 |
| SMITH, MICHAEL | KAITAR RESOURCES · CONSULTANT | BROOMFIELD, CO | 1 | $7,000 |
| CHOI, EMILIE | COINBASE · PRESIDENT | BURLINGAME, CA | 1 | $3,500 |
| CHATOFF, ART MR. | RETIRED · RETIRED | LOS GATOS, CA | 1 | $3,500 |
| DAVIS, GEOFFREY C. | REPUBLIC CONSULTING LLC · MANAGING PARTNER | ORLANDO, FL | 1 | $2,000 |
| ABELSON, JEREMY | IRVING INVESTORS · PRINCIPAL | CHERRY HILLS VILLA, CO | 1 | $1,500 |
| FEINER, MICHAEL A. | FEINER ENTERPRISES LLC · PRESIDENT/CEO | GREENWOOD VILLAGE, CO | 1 | $1,000 |
| FARAHI, DAVID | SELF-EMPLOYED · EXECUTIVE | DENVER, CO | 1 | $1,000 |
| NICHOLS, RANDY T. | NICHOLS PARTNERSHIP · REAL ESTATE DEVELOPER | DENVER, CO | 1 | $1,000 |
| SCHALL, JAMES E. DR. | RETIRED · RETIRED | HUNTINGDON, PA | 6 | $698 |
| KLEINMAN, BILL | HAYNESBOONE · ATTORNEY | PLANO, TX | 1 | $500 |
| RICHARDSON, FRANK E. MR. | F.E. RICHARDSON & CO. · PRIVATE INVESTOR | KATONAH, NY | 1 | $500 |
| BYARS, EUGENE MR. | RETIRED · RETIRED | HOOVER, AL | 1 | $400 |
| DUDLEY, JANET | RETIRED · RETIRED | MARIETTA, GA | 51 | $339 |
| ALSAMMARAE, AIHAM | KCI ENGINEERING CONSULTANTS · CONSULTANT ENGINEER | OAK BROOK, IL | 1 | $250 |
| ROSENBERG, ANDREW | CASSIN & CASSIN LLP · ATTORNEY | NEW YORK, NY | 1 | $250 |
| CARNEY, JOSEPH | JOSEPH D. CARNEY ASSOCIATES LLC · ATTORNEY ENTREPRENEUR | AVON, OH | 1 | $247 |
| HENLEY, DOY | RETIRED · RETIRED | TUSTIN, CA | 2 | $200 |
| SINANDER, MARGO | SELF-EMPLOYED · BUSINESS | CEDAR GLEN, CA | 16 | $199 |
| SWEET, STEPHEN G. MR. | RETIRED · RETIRED | HOUSTON, TX | 9 | $153 |
| RICHARDSON, LINDA | RETIRED · RETIRED | SCOTTSDALE, AZ | 24 | $117 |
| PAYNE, WILMUTH | RETIRED · RETIRED | HAMILTON, AL | 10 | $114 |
| HARDESTY, JOHN | RETIRED · RETIRED | KINGWOOD, WV | 1 | $110 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (1)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-10-22 | CADENCE BANK PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | principal_candidate_of | COTTON FOR SENATE, INC. | — | candidate_committees |