RENZI, RICHARD G.

R · house · bioguide R000574

FEC candidate id: H2AZ01172
Internal id: 7b1086e6-93c8-49ef-b6ce-6f05e628b712
Status: incumbent

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AZ-01. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	804,578
People	Median age	44
Income	Median household income	$99,999
Income	Per-capita income	$69,449
Income	In poverty	8.7%
Income	Unemployed	4.0%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.510
Race	White alone	71.9%
Race	Black alone	3.7%
Race	Asian alone	4.5%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	17.3%
Race	Two or more races	13.4%
Origin	Foreign-born	12.5%
Language	Speaks English only at home	82.5%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	10.2%
Education	High school or higher	67.8%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	52.5%
Education	Advanced degree	20.9%
Household	Family households	57.8%
Household	Avg household size	2.21
Household	Never married (15+)	32.3%
Housing	Median home value	$642,100
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,780
Housing	Single-family detached	56.6%
Housing	Built before 1940	0.8%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.4%
Housing	Vacant units	10.9%
Service	Veterans (18+)	5.9%
Health	With a disability	11.1%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	94.3%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	3.8%
Commute	Drove alone	63.1%
Commute	Public transit	0.9%
Commute	Worked from home	26.3%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$0	$0	$0	$456,157	$0
2024	$0	$0	$0	$456,157	$0
2022	$0	$1,245	$0	$456,157	$0
2020	$0	$0	$1,245	$456,157	$0
2018	$0	$0	$1,245	$456,157	$0
2016	$0	$0	$1,245	$456,157	$0
2014	$0	$0	$1,245	$456,157	$0
2012	$0	$0	$1,245	$456,157	$0
2010	$0	$2,580	$1,245	$456,157	$0
2008	$185,824	$195,829	$3,825	$456,122	$66,819
2006	$2,110,748	$2,246,797	$13,830	$490,322	$923,757
2004	$2,358,753	$2,207,255	$149,878	$350,000	$848,050
2002	$2,130,243	$1,933,746	$-1,619	$451,590	$540,370

Elections

2002 general house · AZ-1 — won
2004 general house · AZ-1 — won
2006 general house · AZ-1 — won
2008 general house · AZ-1 — lost_general

Committees

2004 JOINT CANDIDATE COMMITTEE — joint_fundraising · type N
2004 JOINT CANDIDATE COMMITTEE II — joint_fundraising · type N
2005 JOINT CANDIDATE COMMITTEE — joint_fundraising · type H
LEADERSHIP COMMITTEE; THE — joint_fundraising · type H
RICK RENZI FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
ROMP 2007 — joint_fundraising · type H
WESTERN GOP MAJORITY COMMITTEE — joint_fundraising · type H

Recent votes

No votes on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 99.0%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
incumbent	+78.0%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (7)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	2004 JOINT CANDIDATE COMMITTEE II	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	2004 JOINT CANDIDATE COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	ROMP 2007	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	2005 JOINT CANDIDATE COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	WESTERN GOP MAJORITY COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	PAC; THE	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	RICK RENZI FOR CONGRESS	—	candidate_committees

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