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CHERNY, ANDREI

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2AZ09043
Internal id
03f902af-71c1-4659-afed-8eba5216a39a
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AZ-09. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation863,227
PeopleMedian age41
IncomeMedian household income$78,678
IncomePer-capita income$37,800
IncomeIn poverty10.8%
IncomeUnemployed5.2%
IncomeGini inequality index0.427
RaceWhite alone62.9%
RaceBlack alone4.5%
RaceAsian alone2.2%
RaceHispanic or Latino31.2%
RaceTwo or more races17.7%
OriginForeign-born10.1%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home79.0%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home17.3%
EducationHigh school or higher52.2%
EducationBachelor's or higher22.9%
EducationAdvanced degree8.4%
HouseholdFamily households69.9%
HouseholdAvg household size2.59
HouseholdNever married (15+)28.3%
HousingMedian home value$371,600
HousingMedian gross rent$1,509
HousingSingle-family detached70.3%
HousingBuilt before 19400.5%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)4.2%
HousingVacant units13.0%
ServiceVeterans (18+)10.5%
HealthWith a disability14.9%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband92.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet5.5%
CommuteDrove alone71.5%
CommutePublic transit0.3%
CommuteWorked from home15.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$10,000$15,366$0$0$0
2024$2,593,679$2,588,313$5,366$13,900$2,373,510
2014$0$27,167$0$0$0
2012$1,137,485$1,110,317$27,168$150,000$946,903

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2024$0$4,5711

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
2024-07-18THE IMPACT FUNDoppose$4,571Text Messaging Services

Connected on the graph

Inbound (1)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2024-07-18THE IMPACT FUNDopposes_independently$4,571fec_ies

Outbound (2)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofANDREI FOR ARIZONAβ€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofANDREI FOR ARIZONAβ€”candidate_committees

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