SALAS, RUDY

D · house

FEC candidate id: H2CA21233
Internal id: a31aecf2-5047-4351-9637-bfe184e1a93f
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-22. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	780,759
People	Median age	31
Income	Median household income	$58,828
Income	Per-capita income	$22,039
Income	In poverty	22.7%
Income	Unemployed	10.0%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.441
Race	White alone	31.9%
Race	Black alone	4.5%
Race	Asian alone	3.8%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	74.2%
Race	Two or more races	29.8%
Origin	Foreign-born	26.6%
Language	Speaks English only at home	39.3%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	56.5%
Education	High school or higher	40.6%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	10.2%
Education	Advanced degree	3.0%
Household	Family households	78.4%
Household	Avg household size	3.44
Household	Never married (15+)	43.9%
Housing	Median home value	$285,600
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,189
Housing	Single-family detached	70.5%
Housing	Built before 1940	5.6%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	14.1%
Housing	Vacant units	5.6%
Service	Veterans (18+)	3.0%
Health	With a disability	11.7%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	88.7%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	8.6%
Commute	Drove alone	77.8%
Commute	Public transit	0.5%
Commute	Worked from home	4.9%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$13,882	$99,689	$120,637	$0	$6,868
2024	$6,515,960	$6,323,925	$206,443	$0	$4,982,404
2022	$2,953,289	$2,938,880	$14,409	$0	$2,310,728

Elections

2022 general house · CA-22 — lost_general
2024 general house · CA-22 — lost_general
2026 general house · CA-22 — running

Committees

RUDY SALAS FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2024	$3,623,068	$1,859,354	141
2022	$3,229,301	$5,912,271	82

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	HMP	support	$10,213	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$37,189	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$77,059	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$6,509	Digital Production - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$13,389	Digital Production - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$4,000	Digital Production - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$14,742	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$11,803	Text Messages - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$29,548	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$96,772	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$31,942	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$9,520	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$14,662	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$14,742	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$26,625	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$14,756	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$149,600	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$215,169	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	CHC BOLD PAC	support	$5,000	Digital Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$19,000	Digital Production - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$13,017	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$29,378	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$16,321	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$14,742	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$20,521	Digital Advertising - Estimate

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2025-06-18	MACHINISTS NON PARTISAN POLITICAL LEAGUE OF THE…	24K	$5,000
2025-04-09	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	24E	$25,000
2022-12-20	ACTIVATE AMERICA	24E	$550
2022-11-29	VALLEY WORKS ACTION FUND	24E	$49,999
2022-11-28	WE VOTE - NOSOTROS VOTAMOS - PPAMM COMMITTEE	24E	$1
2022-11-18	CHC BOLD PAC	24K	$5,000
2022-11-15	DOLORES HUERTA ACTION FUND	24E	$5,882
2022-11-14	PLANNED PARENTHOOD AFFILIATES OF CALIFORNIA VOT…	24E	$5,000
2022-11-10	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF TEAMSTERS	24F	$4,331
2022-11-08	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$7
2022-11-08	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$18
2022-11-08	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$111
2022-11-07	EQUALITY PAC	24K	$2,000
2022-11-07	ACTIVATE AMERICA	24E	$408
2022-11-07	OCCUPY DEMOCRATS ELECTION FUND	24K	$2,900
2022-11-06	CLF	24A	$1,450
2022-11-06	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$8,000
2022-11-05	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$750
2022-11-05	SWING LEFT	24Z	$180
2022-11-05	SWING LEFT	24Z	$68
2022-11-04	VALLEY WORKS ACTION FUND	24E	$49,999
2022-11-04	ENCORE CAPITAL GROUP, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COM…	24K	$1,500
2022-11-03	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$1,825
2022-11-03	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$92
2022-11-03	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$2,950

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	VOTAR ES PODER PAC	supports_independently	$34,959	fec_ies
—	VOTAR ES PODER PAC	supports_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
—	VOTAR ES PODER PAC	supports_independently	$3,000	fec_ies
—	VOTAR ES PODER PAC	supports_independently	$13,978	fec_ies
—	SOMOS PAC	supports_independently	$2,723	fec_ies
—	SOMOS PAC	supports_independently	$4,320	fec_ies
—	SOMOS PAC	supports_independently	$28,000	fec_ies
—	SOMOS PAC	supports_independently	$6,440	fec_ies
—	SOMOS PAC	supports_independently	$100,000	fec_ies
—	SOMOS PAC	supports_independently	$100,000	fec_ies
—	SOMOS PAC	supports_independently	$4,950	fec_ies
—	SOMOS PAC	supports_independently	$3,660	fec_ies
—	SOMOS PAC	supports_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
—	SOMOS PAC	supports_independently	$100,000	fec_ies
—	SOMOS PAC	supports_independently	$17,000	fec_ies
—	SOMOS PAC	supports_independently	$100,000	fec_ies
—	SOMOS PAC	supports_independently	$9,340	fec_ies
—	SOMOS PAC	supports_independently	$5,865	fec_ies
—	SOMOS PAC	supports_independently	$10,610	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$60,095	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$20,521	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$215,169	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$19,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$215,169	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$50,565	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$60,095	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$10,213	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$6,509	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$69,200	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$20,075	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$4,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$60,095	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$29,378	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$29,378	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$77,059	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$39,146	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$13,389	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$19,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$60,095	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$39,146	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$13,721	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$19,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$20,075	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$37,189	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$13,017	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$9,508	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$11,803	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$29,548	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$96,772	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$31,942	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$42,035	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$50,565	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$9,520	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$26,625	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$14,756	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$14,742	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$14,742	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$14,662	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$149,600	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$14,742	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$16,321	fec_ies
—	CHC BOLD PAC	supports_independently	$5,000	fec_ies
2025-06-18	MACHINISTS NON PARTISAN POLITICAL LEAGUE OF THE INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF MACHINISTS & AEROSPACE WORKERS	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-04-09	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	contributed_to	$25,000	pas2
2024-11-03	SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION)	supports_independently	$2,625	fec_ies
2024-11-01	WORKING AMERICA	supports_independently	$794	fec_ies
2024-11-01	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	supports_independently	$2,600	fec_ies
2024-10-30	MOVEON.ORG POLITICAL ACTION	supports_independently	$811	fec_ies
2024-10-30	MOVEON.ORG POLITICAL ACTION	supports_independently	$225	fec_ies
2024-10-29	WORKING AMERICA	supports_independently	$822	fec_ies
2024-10-28	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	supports_independently	$22,500	fec_ies
2024-10-28	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	supports_independently	$22,500	fec_ies
2024-10-28	NRCC	opposes_independently	$71,539	fec_ies
2024-10-26	WORKING AMERICA	supports_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
2024-10-25	NRCC	opposes_independently	$93,112	fec_ies
2024-10-24	LATINO VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$600	fec_ies
2024-10-24	DCCC	supports_independently	$108,460	fec_ies
2024-10-24	LATINO VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$20,000	fec_ies
2024-10-24	DCCC	supports_independently	$66,802	fec_ies
2024-10-24	LATINO VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$20,000	fec_ies
2024-10-23	WORKING AMERICA	supports_independently	$2,500	fec_ies
2024-10-22	THEY SEE BLUE	supports_independently	$3	fec_ies
2024-10-22	THEY SEE BLUE	supports_independently	$3	fec_ies
2024-10-22	SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION)	supports_independently	$4,063	fec_ies
2024-10-21	THEY SEE BLUE	supports_independently	$3	fec_ies
2024-10-20	THEY SEE BLUE	supports_independently	$5	fec_ies
2024-10-20	THEY SEE BLUE	supports_independently	$5	fec_ies
2024-10-19	NRCC	opposes_independently	$37,432	fec_ies
2024-10-19	THEY SEE BLUE	supports_independently	$3	fec_ies
2024-10-19	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	supports_independently	$1,000	fec_ies
2024-10-19	SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION)	supports_independently	$1,625	fec_ies
2024-10-18	NRCC	opposes_independently	$225,674	fec_ies
2024-10-18	NRCC	opposes_independently	$66,946	fec_ies
2024-10-18	THEY SEE BLUE	supports_independently	$25	fec_ies
2024-10-17	DCCC	supports_independently	$108,461	fec_ies
2024-10-17	DCCC	supports_independently	$66,801	fec_ies
2024-10-17	DCCC	supports_independently	$7,407	fec_ies
2024-10-17	DCCC	supports_independently	$7,399	fec_ies
2024-10-17	SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION)	supports_independently	$3,417	fec_ies
2024-10-16	SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION)	supports_independently	$1,020	fec_ies

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	RUDY SALAS FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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