CONWAY, CONNIE

R · house · bioguide C001128

FEC candidate id: H2CA22231
Internal id: cdae4cfe-90a8-4a55-a733-149037855760
Status: incumbent

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-22. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	780,759
People	Median age	31
Income	Median household income	$58,828
Income	Per-capita income	$22,039
Income	In poverty	22.7%
Income	Unemployed	10.0%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.441
Race	White alone	31.9%
Race	Black alone	4.5%
Race	Asian alone	3.8%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	74.2%
Race	Two or more races	29.8%
Origin	Foreign-born	26.6%
Language	Speaks English only at home	39.3%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	56.5%
Education	High school or higher	40.6%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	10.2%
Education	Advanced degree	3.0%
Household	Family households	78.4%
Household	Avg household size	3.44
Household	Never married (15+)	43.9%
Housing	Median home value	$285,600
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,189
Housing	Single-family detached	70.5%
Housing	Built before 1940	5.6%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	14.1%
Housing	Vacant units	5.6%
Service	Veterans (18+)	3.0%
Health	With a disability	11.7%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	88.7%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	8.6%
Commute	Drove alone	77.8%
Commute	Public transit	0.5%
Commute	Worked from home	4.9%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$0	$13,110	$0	$0	$0
2022	$179,082	$165,972	$13,110	$0	$145,782

Elections

2022 general house · CA-22 — won

Committees

CONNIE CONWAY FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Recent votes

No votes on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 99.0%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
incumbent	+78.0%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-09-02	WINRED	24K	$-1
2022-09-01	WINRED	24K	$-2
2022-08-03	WINRED	24K	$-2
2022-07-26	WINRED	24K	$-3
2022-07-22	WINRED	24K	$-2
2022-07-21	WINRED	24K	$-2
2022-07-20	WINRED	24K	$-3
2022-07-19	WINRED	24K	$-2
2022-07-19	WINRED	24K	$-5
2022-07-18	WINRED	24K	$-3
2022-07-16	WINRED	24K	$-2
2022-07-10	WINRED	24K	$-3
2022-07-09	WINRED	24K	$-6
2022-07-08	WINRED	24K	$-10
2022-07-06	WINRED	24K	$-1
2022-07-06	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-07-04	WINRED	24K	$-1
2022-07-04	WINRED	24K	$-1
2022-07-03	WINRED	24K	$-3
2022-07-03	WINRED	24K	$-13
2022-07-02	WINRED	24K	$-3
2022-06-29	WINRED	24K	$-2
2022-06-29	WINRED	24K	$-3
2022-06-25	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-06-23	WINRED	24K	$-6

Connected on the graph

Inbound (71)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-09-02	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-09-01	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-08-03	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-07-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-07-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-07-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-07-20	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-07-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-07-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-07-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-07-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-07-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-07-09	WINRED	contributed_to	$-6	pas2
2022-07-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-07-06	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-07-06	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-07-04	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-07-04	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-07-03	WINRED	contributed_to	$-13	pas2
2022-07-03	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-07-02	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-06-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-06-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-06-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-06-23	WINRED	contributed_to	$-6	pas2
2022-06-23	WINRED	contributed_to	$-6	pas2
2022-06-23	WINRED	contributed_to	$-26	pas2
2022-06-23	WINRED	contributed_to	$-26	pas2
2022-06-23	WINRED	contributed_to	$-26	pas2
2022-06-23	WINRED	contributed_to	$-26	pas2
2022-06-20	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-06-20	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-06-20	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-06-20	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-06-17	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-06-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-06-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-06-11	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-06-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-06-05	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-06-03	CUT THE BULL PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-06-03	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-06-03	GEORGE HOLDING FOR CONGRESS INC.	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-05-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-05-23	THE EYE OF THE TIGER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-05-23	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-05-23	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-05-23	SCALISE FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-05-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-13	pas2
2022-05-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-05-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-05-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-05-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-05-19	BE VICTORIOUS OVER DEMOCRATS PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-05-18	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS	contributed_to	$600	pas2
2022-05-18	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS	contributed_to	$4,683	pas2
2022-05-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-05-15	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-05-15	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-05-09	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-05-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-05-06	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-05-04	SUPPORT TAXFIGHTERS & ELECT EFFECTIVE LEADERS PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-05-02	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-05-02	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-04-28	MAJORITY COMMITTEE PAC--MC PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-04-27	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-04-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-83	pas2
2022-04-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-04-04	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-02-17	CALIFORNIA DAIRIES, INC. FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$500	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	CONNIE CONWAY FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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