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WILLIAMS, STEVE MR.

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2CA36504
Internal id
f35b9212-92d8-44eb-ae1f-785f5dbdd53e
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-43. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation729,891
PeopleMedian age36
IncomeMedian household income$75,699
IncomePer-capita income$31,737
IncomeIn poverty16.9%
IncomeUnemployed8.4%
IncomeGini inequality index0.447
RaceWhite alone12.4%
RaceBlack alone22.2%
RaceAsian alone9.1%
RaceHispanic or Latino58.7%
RaceTwo or more races24.3%
OriginForeign-born32.7%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home41.7%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home49.6%
EducationHigh school or higher47.0%
EducationBachelor's or higher22.4%
EducationAdvanced degree6.8%
HouseholdFamily households70.4%
HouseholdAvg household size3.12
HouseholdNever married (15+)46.5%
HousingMedian home value$699,300
HousingMedian gross rent$1,762
HousingSingle-family detached46.5%
HousingBuilt before 194014.1%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)15.9%
HousingVacant units5.1%
ServiceVeterans (18+)2.8%
HealthWith a disability13.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband91.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet5.8%
CommuteDrove alone70.2%
CommutePublic transit4.4%
CommuteWorked from home9.9%

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-11-08COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC24E$111
2022-11-08COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC24E$18
2022-11-08COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC24E$7
2022-11-03COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC24E$92
2022-11-03COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC24E$5
2022-11-01COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC24E$185
2022-10-27COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC24E$148
2022-10-27COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC24E$0
2022-10-12COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC24E$4
2022-10-12COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC24E$2
2022-10-12COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC24E$63
2022-10-12COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC24E$0
2022-10-12COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC24E$24

Connected on the graph

Inbound (13)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-11-08COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PACcontributed_to$111pas2
2022-11-08COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PACcontributed_to$18pas2
2022-11-08COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PACcontributed_to$7pas2
2022-11-03COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PACcontributed_to$5pas2
2022-11-03COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PACcontributed_to$92pas2
2022-11-01COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PACcontributed_to$185pas2
2022-10-27COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PACcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-10-27COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PACcontributed_to$148pas2
2022-10-12COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PACcontributed_to$4pas2
2022-10-12COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PACcontributed_to$63pas2
2022-10-12COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PACcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-10-12COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PACcontributed_to$24pas2
2022-10-12COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PACcontributed_to$2pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofSTEVE WILLIAMS FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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