SILVERA, AARON ALBERT
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2CA37288- Internal id
ee425278-b16a-46c6-8a2b-5761462a7b8e
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-37. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 745,432 |
| People | Median age | 35 |
| Income | Median household income | $70,327 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $37,005 |
| Income | In poverty | 20.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 9.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.520 |
| Race | White alone | 17.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 21.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 6.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 55.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 20.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 33.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 42.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 49.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 49.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 29.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.3% |
| Household | Family households | 59.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.82 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 52.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $852,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,775 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 33.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 11.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 14.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 2.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 60.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 8.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.4% |
Elections
- 2032 general house Β· CA-37 β running
Committees
- AARON SILVERA FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | AARON SILVERA FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |