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SHURE, MICHAEL MR.

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2CA37346
Internal id
d8d8b640-8cf6-427c-a3c8-2366aadd35b7
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-37. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation745,432
PeopleMedian age35
IncomeMedian household income$70,327
IncomePer-capita income$37,005
IncomeIn poverty20.6%
IncomeUnemployed9.1%
IncomeGini inequality index0.520
RaceWhite alone17.0%
RaceBlack alone21.7%
RaceAsian alone6.8%
RaceHispanic or Latino55.0%
RaceTwo or more races20.2%
OriginForeign-born33.8%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home42.1%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home49.2%
EducationHigh school or higher49.1%
EducationBachelor's or higher29.6%
EducationAdvanced degree11.3%
HouseholdFamily households59.3%
HouseholdAvg household size2.82
HouseholdNever married (15+)52.4%
HousingMedian home value$852,100
HousingMedian gross rent$1,775
HousingSingle-family detached33.6%
HousingBuilt before 194011.4%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)14.3%
HousingVacant units8.0%
ServiceVeterans (18+)2.1%
HealthWith a disability12.8%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband90.5%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet6.8%
CommuteDrove alone60.2%
CommutePublic transit8.4%
CommuteWorked from home15.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$0$0$9,047$51,967$0
2024$0$66$9,047$51,967$0
2022$252,582$243,469$9,113$51,967$231,582

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2022$171,000$05

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
2022-05-26CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PACsupport$25,000DIGITAL MEDIA
2022-05-18CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PACsupport$17,000CONSULTING FEES
2022-05-18CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PACsupport$56,000DIGITAL MEDIA
2022-05-18CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PACsupport$56,000DIGITAL MEDIA
2022-05-18CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PACsupport$17,000CONSULTING FEES

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-07-06CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PAC24E$40
2022-06-03CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PAC24E$30
2022-06-03CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PAC24E$1,816
2022-05-26CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PAC24E$25,000
2022-05-26CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PAC24E$30
2022-05-25CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PAC24E$15
2022-05-24CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PAC24E$38
2022-05-18CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PAC24E$17,000
2022-05-18CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PAC24E$56,000
2022-05-18CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PAC24E$30
2022-05-15COHEN FOR CONGRESS24K$1,000
2022-05-12REMEDY PAC24K$2,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (17)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-07-06CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PACcontributed_to$40pas2
2022-06-03CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PACcontributed_to$30pas2
2022-06-03CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PACcontributed_to$1,816pas2
2022-05-26CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PACcontributed_to$30pas2
2022-05-26CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PACsupports_independently$25,000fec_ies
2022-05-26CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PACcontributed_to$25,000pas2
2022-05-25CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PACcontributed_to$15pas2
2022-05-24CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PACcontributed_to$38pas2
2022-05-18CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PACcontributed_to$30pas2
2022-05-18CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PACcontributed_to$56,000pas2
2022-05-18CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PACcontributed_to$17,000pas2
2022-05-18CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PACsupports_independently$17,000fec_ies
2022-05-18CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PACsupports_independently$56,000fec_ies
2022-05-18CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PACsupports_independently$56,000fec_ies
2022-05-18CALIFORNIANS FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT PACsupports_independently$17,000fec_ies
2022-05-15COHEN FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEEcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-05-12REMEDY PACcontributed_to$2,000pas2

Outbound (1)

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β€”principal_candidate_ofSHURE FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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