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CHEN, JAY

D · house

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FEC candidate id
H2CA39136
Internal id
f7acbdf5-9d3e-4085-ac21-862cce63af22
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-45. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation748,896
PeopleMedian age41
IncomeMedian household income$107,226
IncomePer-capita income$44,637
IncomeIn poverty9.9%
IncomeUnemployed5.9%
IncomeGini inequality index0.444
RaceWhite alone30.3%
RaceBlack alone2.1%
RaceAsian alone38.3%
RaceHispanic or Latino30.8%
RaceTwo or more races15.8%
OriginForeign-born37.0%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home46.1%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home20.3%
EducationHigh school or higher58.2%
EducationBachelor's or higher38.7%
EducationAdvanced degree13.1%
HouseholdFamily households76.1%
HouseholdAvg household size3.11
HouseholdNever married (15+)35.1%
HousingMedian home value$897,800
HousingMedian gross rent$2,250
HousingSingle-family detached58.6%
HousingBuilt before 19402.3%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)9.6%
HousingVacant units3.4%
ServiceVeterans (18+)3.3%
HealthWith a disability10.5%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband94.6%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet4.0%
CommuteDrove alone71.1%
CommutePublic transit1.0%
CommuteWorked from home14.3%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$26$0$6,015$3,831$0
2024$1,231$5,257$5,988$3,831$1,000
2022$5,037,026$5,100,737$10,014$6,945$4,403,704
2020$0$990$73,726$0$0
2018$385,048$310,332$74,716$0$186,142
2014$143,323$222,278$0$0$0
2012$793,549$714,594$78,955$217,000$545,866

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΔ P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2022$92,913$034

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
—WOMEN FOR AMERICAN VALUES AND ETHICS POLITICAL …support$450Cell phone data for text messaging (estimated amt)
—PIVOT VICTORY FUNDsupport$600TV Advertisement
—PIVOT VICTORY FUNDsupport$7,28315,000 Mailers
—PIVOT VICTORY FUNDsupport$7605,000 Postcards
—PIVOT VICTORY FUNDsupport$3,00042 60 Second TV Advertisements Run 11/1/22 - 11/7/22
—PIVOT VICTORY FUNDsupport$3,00042 60 Second TV Advertisements Run 11/1/22 - 11/7/22
—PIVOT VICTORY FUNDsupport$7605,000 Postcards
—PIVOT VICTORY FUNDsupport$600TV Advertisement
—PIVOT VICTORY FUNDsupport$300Newspaper Ad
—PIVOT VICTORY FUNDsupport$2,000TV Advertisement
—PIVOT VICTORY FUNDsupport$7,28315,000 Mailers
—WOMEN FOR AMERICAN VALUES AND ETHICS POLITICAL …support$1,000Text messaging consultant (estimated amt)
—WOMEN FOR AMERICAN VALUES AND ETHICS POLITICAL …support$2,000Text messaging platform (estimated amt)
2022-11-04PIVOT VICTORY FUNDsupport$300Newspaper Ad
2022-11-03PIVOT VICTORY FUNDsupport$2,000TV Advertisement
2022-11-02UNITED WE CANsupport$2,151Estimated Cost - Newspaper Ads
2022-11-02UNITED WE CANsupport$1,250Estimated Cost - Radio Ads
2022-11-02UNITED WE CANsupport$1,250Estimated Cost - Newspaper Ads
2022-10-31UNITED WE CANsupport$636Estimated Cost - Magazine Advertising
2022-10-29WORKING AMERICAsupport$7,000Digital Advertising
2022-10-28UNITED WE CANsupport$1,800Estimated Cost - Radio Advertising
2022-10-27UNITED WE CANsupport$5,000Estimated Cost - Digital Advertising
2022-10-27UNITED WE CANsupport$1,500Estimated Cost - Digital Ad Production
2022-10-27UNITED WE CANsupport$2,000Estimated Cost - Digital Advertising
2022-10-21UNITED WE CANsupport$16Estimated Cost - Texting Services

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
—PIVOT VICTORY FUND24E$600
—PIVOT VICTORY FUND24E$23
—PIVOT VICTORY FUND24E$10,000
—PIVOT VICTORY FUND24E$209
—PIVOT VICTORY FUND24E$88
—PIVOT VICTORY FUND24E$759
—PIVOT VICTORY FUND24E$56
2022-12-20ACTIVATE AMERICA24E$550
2022-12-19PLANNED PARENTHOOD OF ORANGE AND SAN BERNARDINO…24E$6
2022-12-19PLANNED PARENTHOOD OF ORANGE AND SAN BERNARDINO…24E$15
2022-12-08PLANNED PARENTHOOD OF ORANGE AND SAN BERNARDINO…24E$294
2022-12-08PLANNED PARENTHOOD OF ORANGE AND SAN BERNARDINO…24E$94
2022-12-08PLANNED PARENTHOOD OF ORANGE AND SAN BERNARDINO…24E$84
2022-11-30PIVOT VICTORY FUND24E$209
2022-11-30PIVOT VICTORY FUND24E$88
2022-11-30PIVOT VICTORY FUND24E$56
2022-11-30PIVOT VICTORY FUND24E$23
2022-11-30PIVOT VICTORY FUND24E$209
2022-11-30PIVOT VICTORY FUND24E$1,037
2022-11-22WOMEN FOR AMERICAN VALUES AND ETHICS POLITICAL …24E$2,041
2022-11-18PIVOT VICTORY FUND24E$600
2022-11-17WOMEN FOR AMERICAN VALUES AND ETHICS POLITICAL …24E$377
2022-11-17WOMEN FOR AMERICAN VALUES AND ETHICS POLITICAL …24E$443
2022-11-15EQUALITY CALIFORNIA FEDERAL PAC24Z$1,838
2022-11-14PLANNED PARENTHOOD AFFILIATES OF CALIFORNIA VOT…24E$5,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
—PIVOT VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$759pas2
—PIVOT VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$209pas2
—PIVOT VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$10,000pas2
—PIVOT VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$23pas2
—PIVOT VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$600pas2
—PIVOT VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$88pas2
—PIVOT VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$56pas2
—WOMEN FOR AMERICAN VALUES AND ETHICS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (A/K/A WAVE PAC)supports_independently$1,000fec_ies
—WOMEN FOR AMERICAN VALUES AND ETHICS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (A/K/A WAVE PAC)supports_independently$450fec_ies
—WOMEN FOR AMERICAN VALUES AND ETHICS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (A/K/A WAVE PAC)supports_independently$2,000fec_ies
—PIVOT VICTORY FUNDsupports_independently$760fec_ies
—PIVOT VICTORY FUNDsupports_independently$2,000fec_ies
—PIVOT VICTORY FUNDsupports_independently$7,283fec_ies
—PIVOT VICTORY FUNDsupports_independently$7,283fec_ies
—PIVOT VICTORY FUNDsupports_independently$600fec_ies
—PIVOT VICTORY FUNDsupports_independently$760fec_ies
—PIVOT VICTORY FUNDsupports_independently$600fec_ies
—PIVOT VICTORY FUNDsupports_independently$3,000fec_ies
—PIVOT VICTORY FUNDsupports_independently$300fec_ies
—PIVOT VICTORY FUNDsupports_independently$3,000fec_ies
2022-12-20ACTIVATE AMERICAcontributed_to$550pas2
2022-12-19PLANNED PARENTHOOD OF ORANGE AND SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES' COMMUNITY ACTION FUND PACcontributed_to$15pas2
2022-12-19PLANNED PARENTHOOD OF ORANGE AND SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES' COMMUNITY ACTION FUND PACcontributed_to$6pas2
2022-12-08PLANNED PARENTHOOD OF ORANGE AND SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES' COMMUNITY ACTION FUND PACcontributed_to$294pas2
2022-12-08PLANNED PARENTHOOD OF ORANGE AND SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES' COMMUNITY ACTION FUND PACcontributed_to$94pas2
2022-12-08PLANNED PARENTHOOD OF ORANGE AND SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES' COMMUNITY ACTION FUND PACcontributed_to$84pas2
2022-11-30PIVOT VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$88pas2
2022-11-30PIVOT VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$23pas2
2022-11-30PIVOT VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$56pas2
2022-11-30PIVOT VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$209pas2
2022-11-30PIVOT VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$1,037pas2
2022-11-30PIVOT VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$209pas2
2022-11-22WOMEN FOR AMERICAN VALUES AND ETHICS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (A/K/A WAVE PAC)contributed_to$2,041pas2
2022-11-18PIVOT VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$600pas2
2022-11-17WOMEN FOR AMERICAN VALUES AND ETHICS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (A/K/A WAVE PAC)contributed_to$443pas2
2022-11-17WOMEN FOR AMERICAN VALUES AND ETHICS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (A/K/A WAVE PAC)contributed_to$377pas2
2022-11-15EQUALITY CALIFORNIA FEDERAL PACcontributed_to$1,838pas2
2022-11-14PLANNED PARENTHOOD AFFILIATES OF CALIFORNIA VOTES PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-11-10INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF TEAMSTERScontributed_to$8,498pas2
2022-11-09TRANSPORT WORKERS UNION OF AMERICA POLITICAL CONTRIBUTIONS COMMITTEEcontributed_to$-2,500pas2
2022-11-08HUMAN RIGHTS CAMPAIGN PACcontributed_to$2,622pas2
2022-11-08UCA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-11-08PIVOT VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$450pas2
2022-11-08HUMAN RIGHTS CAMPAIGN FUNDcontributed_to$3,015pas2
2022-11-08AMERICAN FEDERATION OF TEACHERS AFL-CIOcontributed_to$211pas2
2022-11-08NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATIONcontributed_to$8,954pas2
2022-11-08COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PACcontributed_to$18pas2
2022-11-08COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PACcontributed_to$7pas2
2022-11-08COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PACcontributed_to$111pas2
2022-11-07INTERNATIONAL LONGSHORE AND WAREHOUSE UNION -- POLITICAL ACTION FUNDcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-11-07SUPPORTING HOUSE PROBLEM SOLVERS - SHP PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-11-07ACTIVATE AMERICAcontributed_to$441pas2
2022-11-06CLFcontributed_to$2,100pas2
2022-11-06BLUE MOMENTUM PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-11-04PIVOT VICTORY FUNDsupports_independently$300fec_ies
2022-11-04INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$-5,000pas2
2022-11-04INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-11-04INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-11-04PIVOT VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$300pas2
2022-11-03PIVOT VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$3,000pas2
2022-11-03ACTIVATE AMERICAcontributed_to$78pas2
2022-11-03COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PACcontributed_to$92pas2
2022-11-03PIVOT VICTORY FUNDsupports_independently$2,000fec_ies
2022-11-03COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PACcontributed_to$5pas2
2022-11-02UNITED WE CANcontributed_to$1,250pas2
2022-11-02UNITED WE CANcontributed_to$1,250pas2
2022-11-02UNITED WE CANsupports_independently$2,151fec_ies
2022-11-02UNITED WE CANsupports_independently$1,250fec_ies
2022-11-02STRICKLAND FOR WASHINGTONcontributed_to$50pas2
2022-11-02STRICKLAND FOR WASHINGTONcontributed_to$737pas2
2022-11-02SIERRA CLUBcontributed_to$3pas2
2022-11-02UNITED WE CANcontributed_to$2,151pas2
2022-11-02UNITED WE CANsupports_independently$1,250fec_ies
2022-11-02DCCCcontributed_to$2,067pas2
2022-11-02GENERATION GO LEADERSHIP PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-11-02UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION PROGRAM) 'INT'L UNION UNITED AUTOMOBILE AEROSPACE & AGRICULTURAL IMPLEMENT WORKERS OF AMERICA UAWcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-11-01COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PACcontributed_to$185pas2
2022-10-31EQUALITY CALIFORNIA FEDERAL PACcontributed_to$687pas2
2022-10-31WRITERS GUILD OF AMERICA WEST, INC. PAC (WGAW PAC)contributed_to$2,500pas2
2022-10-31NRCCcontributed_to$277,821pas2
2022-10-31PIVOT VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$7,283pas2
2022-10-31MAD 4 PA PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-10-31UNITED WE CANsupports_independently$636fec_ies
2022-10-31PIVOT VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$2,000pas2
2022-10-31ENVIRONMENT AMERICA INC. VOTER ACTION (ABBV. 'ENVIRONMENT AMERICA VOTER ACTION')contributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-10-31UNITED WE CANcontributed_to$636pas2
2022-10-29WORKING AMERICAcontributed_to$7,000pas2
2022-10-29WORKING AMERICAsupports_independently$7,000fec_ies
2022-10-2880-20 ASIAN AMERICAN EMPOWERMENT PACcontributed_to$4,500pas2
2022-10-28UNITED WE CANsupports_independently$1,800fec_ies
2022-10-28NRCCcontributed_to$12,958pas2
2022-10-28BEND THE ARC JEWISH ACTION INC. PACcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2022-10-28ACTIVATE AMERICAcontributed_to$717pas2
2022-10-28UAW NATIONAL CAPcontributed_to$656pas2
2022-10-28PLANNED PARENTHOOD AFFILIATES OF CALIFORNIA VOTES PACcontributed_to$70pas2
2022-10-28CALIFORNIA TEACHERS ASSOCIATIONcontributed_to$202pas2
2022-10-28FUTURE FORUM PACcontributed_to$1,500pas2
2022-10-28UNITED WE CANcontributed_to$1,800pas2
2022-10-28REMEDY PACcontributed_to$2,000pas2
2022-10-27OFFICE AND PROFESSIONAL EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION (OPEIU) JB MOSS VOICE OF THE ELECTORATE (VOTE)contributed_to$2,500pas2

Outbound (2)

datetypetoamountrolesource
—principal_candidate_ofJAY CHEN FOR CONGRESS—candidate_committees
—principal_candidate_ofJAY CHEN FOR CONGRESS—candidate_committees

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