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PETERSON, ARTHUR LAVERNE DR

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2CA39185
Internal id
6edf24f3-009f-449e-8db9-cf9c3013999f
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-39. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation765,795
PeopleMedian age33
IncomeMedian household income$91,833
IncomePer-capita income$31,635
IncomeIn poverty11.8%
IncomeUnemployed6.6%
IncomeGini inequality index0.405
RaceWhite alone25.3%
RaceBlack alone8.8%
RaceAsian alone6.4%
RaceHispanic or Latino63.3%
RaceTwo or more races19.0%
OriginForeign-born25.1%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home47.7%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home45.5%
EducationHigh school or higher50.5%
EducationBachelor's or higher20.0%
EducationAdvanced degree7.3%
HouseholdFamily households79.1%
HouseholdAvg household size3.57
HouseholdNever married (15+)42.9%
HousingMedian home value$543,300
HousingMedian gross rent$1,943
HousingSingle-family detached70.3%
HousingBuilt before 19403.1%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)12.4%
HousingVacant units4.4%
ServiceVeterans (18+)4.1%
HealthWith a disability10.8%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband94.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet3.6%
CommuteDrove alone75.0%
CommutePublic transit1.1%
CommuteWorked from home8.7%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2022$115$2,684$-11,131$0$0

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-05-24PETERSON FOR CONGRESS CAMPAIGN COMMITEE24K$1,508

Connected on the graph

Inbound (2)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-05-24PETERSON FOR CONGRESS CAMPAIGN COMMITEEcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$1,50824Kfec_pas2
2022-05-24PETERSON FOR CONGRESS CAMPAIGN COMMITEEcontributed_to$1,508pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofPETERSON FOR CONGRESS CAMPAIGN COMMITEEβ€”candidate_committees

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