GARCIA, CRISTINA

D · house

FEC candidate id: H2CA42213
Internal id: 1f9b819d-27d5-4f89-bbdd-4616d407baa6
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-42. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	736,570
People	Median age	36
Income	Median household income	$81,436
Income	Per-capita income	$36,590
Income	In poverty	15.1%
Income	Unemployed	6.8%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.454
Race	White alone	28.8%
Race	Black alone	5.7%
Race	Asian alone	7.7%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	66.0%
Race	Two or more races	27.8%
Origin	Foreign-born	32.0%
Language	Speaks English only at home	38.7%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	53.8%
Education	High school or higher	47.7%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	26.0%
Education	Advanced degree	8.8%
Household	Family households	67.4%
Household	Avg household size	2.95
Household	Never married (15+)	47.3%
Housing	Median home value	$773,000
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,805
Housing	Single-family detached	43.9%
Housing	Built before 1940	11.3%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	14.2%
Housing	Vacant units	5.0%
Service	Veterans (18+)	2.4%
Health	With a disability	10.9%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	92.2%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	6.0%
Commute	Drove alone	68.4%
Commute	Public transit	3.8%
Commute	Worked from home	12.2%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2022	$389,183	$389,183	$0	$0	$234,421

Elections

2022 general house · CA-42 — won

Committees

CRISTINA GARCIA FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$0	$331,729	12

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	VPP	oppose	$21,039	Direct Mail Advertising
—	VPP	oppose	$31,947	Direct Mail Advertising
—	VPP	oppose	$21,855	Direct Mail Advertising
—	VPP	oppose	$33,105	Direct Mail Advertising
2022-05-30	EQUALITY PAC	oppose	$26,721	Direct Mail
2022-05-30	EQUALITY PAC	oppose	$25,698	Direct Mail
2022-05-26	EQUALITY PAC	oppose	$25,698	Direct Mail
2022-05-26	EQUALITY PAC	oppose	$26,721	Direct Mail
2022-05-24	EQUALITY PAC	oppose	$26,545	Direct Mail
2022-05-24	EQUALITY PAC	oppose	$26,721	Direct Mail
2022-05-23	DMFI PAC	oppose	$58,830	Digital Advertising Buy
2022-05-23	DMFI PAC	oppose	$6,850	Digital Advertising Production

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	24A	$230,000
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	24A	$120,431
—	VPP	24A	$33,104
—	VPP	24A	$33,104
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	24A	$17,964
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	24A	$20,644
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	24A	$126,048
2025-02-14	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ADVOCACY PROJECT LOS ANGELES…	24E	$0
2022-11-09	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ADVOCACY PROJECT LOS ANGELES…	24E	$26
2022-11-02	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ADVOCACY PROJECT LOS ANGELES…	24E	$31
2022-11-02	COOPERATIVE OF AMERICAN PHYSICIANS INDEPENDENT …	24E	$21,955
2022-09-22	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$5
2022-09-22	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$3
2022-09-08	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$9
2022-09-01	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$8
2022-08-25	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$7
2022-08-25	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$3
2022-08-25	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$12
2022-08-04	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$8
2022-07-21	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$0
2022-07-21	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$7
2022-07-07	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$1
2022-06-07	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$21
2022-06-07	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$9
2022-06-06	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$1

Connected on the graph

Inbound (66)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	VPP	contributed_to	$33,104	pas2
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	contributed_to	$230,000	pas2
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	contributed_to	$17,964	pas2
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	contributed_to	$120,431	pas2
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	contributed_to	$20,644	pas2
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	contributed_to	$126,048	pas2
—	VPP	contributed_to	$33,104	pas2
—	VPP	opposes_independently	$21,855	fec_ies
—	VPP	opposes_independently	$31,947	fec_ies
—	VPP	opposes_independently	$33,105	fec_ies
—	VPP	opposes_independently	$21,039	fec_ies
2025-02-14	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ADVOCACY PROJECT LOS ANGELES COUNTY	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-11-09	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ADVOCACY PROJECT LOS ANGELES COUNTY	contributed_to	$26	pas2
2022-11-02	COOPERATIVE OF AMERICAN PHYSICIANS INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$21,955	pas2
2022-11-02	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ADVOCACY PROJECT LOS ANGELES COUNTY	contributed_to	$31	pas2
2022-09-22	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$5	pas2
2022-09-22	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$3	pas2
2022-09-08	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$9	pas2
2022-09-01	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$8	pas2
2022-08-25	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$3	pas2
2022-08-25	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$12	pas2
2022-08-25	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$7	pas2
2022-08-04	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$8	pas2
2022-07-21	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-07-21	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$7	pas2
2022-07-07	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$1	pas2
2022-06-07	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$9	pas2
2022-06-07	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$21	pas2
2022-06-06	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$1	pas2
2022-06-05	BLUE RIDGE BRIDGE BUILDER FUND	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2022-06-01	VPP	contributed_to	$31,947	pas2
2022-05-30	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	opposes_independently	$26,721	fec_ies
2022-05-30	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	opposes_independently	$25,698	fec_ies
2022-05-30	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	contributed_to	$25,697	pas2
2022-05-26	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-05-26	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	opposes_independently	$25,698	fec_ies
2022-05-26	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	contributed_to	$25,697	pas2
2022-05-26	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	opposes_independently	$26,721	fec_ies
2022-05-24	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	contributed_to	$26,545	pas2
2022-05-24	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	opposes_independently	$26,545	fec_ies
2022-05-24	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	opposes_independently	$26,721	fec_ies
2022-05-23	CHC BOLD PAC	contributed_to	$7,842	pas2
2022-05-23	DMFI PAC	opposes_independently	$6,850	fec_ies
2022-05-23	DMFI PAC	contributed_to	$58,830	pas2
2022-05-23	DMFI PAC	contributed_to	$6,850	pas2
2022-05-23	DMFI PAC	opposes_independently	$58,830	fec_ies
2022-05-17	VPP	contributed_to	$21,854	pas2
2022-05-17	CALIFORNIANS FOR SAFE AND HEALTHY COMMUNITIES	contributed_to	$34,753	pas2
2022-05-17	VPP	contributed_to	$21,038	pas2
2022-05-16	CHC BOLD PAC	contributed_to	$150,000	pas2
2022-05-12	CALIFORNIANS FOR SAFE AND HEALTHY COMMUNITIES	contributed_to	$34,753	pas2
2022-05-04	EQUALITY CALIFORNIA VOTES	contributed_to	$32,891	pas2
2022-04-28	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$17	pas2
2022-04-28	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$11	pas2
2022-04-28	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$38	pas2
2022-04-28	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$9	pas2
2022-04-28	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$61	pas2
2022-04-28	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$2	pas2
2022-04-26	BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$28	pas2
2022-04-19	BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$70	pas2
2022-04-05	BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$276	pas2
2022-04-01	SUNRUN INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (SUNRUN PAC)	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-03-10	CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF MARRIAGE & FAMILY THERAPISTS PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-03-02	CHAMBERPAC FED, SPONSORED BY CALIFORNIA CHAMBER OF COMMERCE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-12-30	TWO EIGHT FIVE PAC	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2021-12-28	BLUE RIDGE BRIDGE BUILDER FUND	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	CRISTINA GARCIA FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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