PHAM, LONG
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2CA45208- Internal id
ea3e916b-1d1f-40d7-94f2-381fcf118127- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-42. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 736,570 |
| People | Median age | 36 |
| Income | Median household income | $81,436 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $36,590 |
| Income | In poverty | 15.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.454 |
| Race | White alone | 28.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 5.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 7.7% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 66.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 27.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 32.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 38.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 53.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 47.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 26.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 8.8% |
| Household | Family households | 67.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.95 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 47.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $773,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,805 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 43.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 11.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 14.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 2.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.2% |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· CA-45 β lost_general
- 2022 general house Β· CA-42 β running
- 2026 general house Β· CA-42 β running
Committees
- LONG PHAM FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | LONG PHAM FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |