ROCHA, JOSEPH C.

D · house

FEC candidate id: H2CA50208
Internal id: 3fcc802d-2f22-4c3f-8fef-92983251ee4f
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-50. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	754,032
People	Median age	38
Income	Median household income	$120,202
Income	Per-capita income	$69,791
Income	In poverty	9.5%
Income	Unemployed	5.0%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.476
Race	White alone	58.0%
Race	Black alone	2.7%
Race	Asian alone	14.4%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	22.3%
Race	Two or more races	16.0%
Origin	Foreign-born	21.6%
Language	Speaks English only at home	70.2%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	14.0%
Education	High school or higher	71.5%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	60.3%
Education	Advanced degree	26.8%
Household	Family households	54.6%
Household	Avg household size	2.32
Household	Never married (15+)	39.2%
Housing	Median home value	$1,080,400
Housing	Median gross rent	$2,386
Housing	Single-family detached	40.8%
Housing	Built before 1940	3.1%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	3.8%
Housing	Vacant units	8.4%
Service	Veterans (18+)	6.1%
Health	With a disability	9.7%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	95.6%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	2.8%
Commute	Drove alone	59.4%
Commute	Public transit	2.0%
Commute	Worked from home	25.6%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2022	$467,856	$467,856	$0	$0	$429,876

Elections

2022 general house · CA-50 — lost_general

Committees

JOSEPH C. ROCHA FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-07-05	CICILLINE COMMITTEE	24K	$1,000
2022-07-05	CICILLINE COMMITTEE	24K	$1,000
2022-02-08	CICILLINE COMMITTEE	24K	$-2,000
2022-01-21	EQUALITY PROJECT PAC	24K	$-2,900
2022-01-21	EQUALITY PROJECT PAC	24K	$-2,900
2021-12-20	SERVE AMERICA PAC	24K	$2,000
2021-12-09	VOTEVETS	24K	$2,500
2021-12-02	EQUALITY PROJECT PAC	24K	$2,900
2021-12-02	EQUALITY PROJECT PAC	24K	$2,900
2021-11-29	LA BAMBA PAC	24K	$2,900
2021-11-12	CICILLINE COMMITTEE	24K	$2,000
2021-11-12	CICILLINE COMMITTEE	24K	$2,000
2021-10-28	RIPPLE OF HOPE PAC	24K	$5,000
2021-09-29	EQUALITY PAC	24K	$5,000
2021-09-27	BACKROADS PAC	24K	$1,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (15)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-07-05	CICILLINE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-07-05	CICILLINE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-02-08	CICILLINE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-2,000	pas2
2022-01-21	EQUALITY PROJECT PAC	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-01-21	EQUALITY PROJECT PAC	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2021-12-20	SERVE AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-12-09	VOTEVETS	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-12-02	EQUALITY PROJECT PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2021-12-02	EQUALITY PROJECT PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2021-11-29	LA BAMBA PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2021-11-12	CICILLINE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-11-12	CICILLINE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-10-28	RIPPLE OF HOPE PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-09-29	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-09-27	BACKROADS PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	JOSEPH C. ROCHA FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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