PAYETTE, MATTHEW WILLIAM
OTHER Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H2CO08053- Internal id
34cf5a99-bdb9-445d-9701-ef36b2ace971- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CO-08. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 739,836 |
| People | Median age | 35 |
| Income | Median household income | $94,617 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,993 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.410 |
| Race | White alone | 62.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 39.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 19.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 12.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 75.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 21.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 56.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 29.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.0% |
| Household | Family households | 69.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.77 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $474,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,725 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 3.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.7% |
Elections
Committees
- PAYETTE 4 CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- PAYETTE FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | PAYETTE 4 CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | PAYETTE FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |