ALLCORN, TYLER
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2CO08103- Internal id
cca01219-b876-437c-9661-b2f9079f313c- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CO-08. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 739,836 |
| People | Median age | 35 |
| Income | Median household income | $94,617 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,993 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.410 |
| Race | White alone | 62.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 39.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 19.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 12.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 75.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 21.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 56.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 29.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.0% |
| Household | Family households | 69.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.77 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $474,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,725 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 3.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $357,200 | $357,200 | $0 | $91,493 | $174,433 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· CO-8 β lost_general
Committees
- ALLCORN FOR COLORADO β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-06-17 | FREEDOM'S DEFENSE FUND | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-06-15 | SEAL PAC SUPPORTING ELECTING AMERICAN LEADERS P⦠| 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-05-18 | CONTINENTAL RESOURCES, INC. POLITICAL ACTION CO⦠| 24K | $2,000 |
| 2022-03-28 | KEEP ELECTING NEW TALENT PAC | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2022-03-23 | RANGER PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-02-09 | WINRED | 24K | $-300 |
| 2022-01-27 | WINRED | 24K | $-2,100 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (7)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-06-17 | FREEDOM'S DEFENSE FUND | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-15 | SEAL PAC SUPPORTING ELECTING AMERICAN LEADERS PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-18 | CONTINENTAL RESOURCES COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-28 | KEEP ELECTING NEW TALENT PAC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-23 | RANGER PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-09 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-300 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2,100 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | ALLCORN FOR COLORADO | β | candidate_committees |