FRANCE, MIKE

R · house

FEC candidate id: H2CT02161
Internal id: 078ac767-0225-46d8-ab31-5e2dcd130e79
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CT-02. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	722,183
People	Median age	43
Income	Median household income	$97,479
Income	Per-capita income	$52,292
Income	In poverty	8.4%
Income	Unemployed	4.8%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.448
Race	White alone	79.9%
Race	Black alone	3.7%
Race	Asian alone	3.6%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	10.2%
Race	Two or more races	8.8%
Origin	Foreign-born	7.5%
Language	Speaks English only at home	88.2%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	6.0%
Education	High school or higher	66.9%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	39.7%
Education	Advanced degree	17.7%
Household	Family households	64.8%
Household	Avg household size	2.38
Household	Never married (15+)	32.6%
Housing	Median home value	$344,000
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,378
Housing	Single-family detached	70.0%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.3%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	0.9%
Housing	Vacant units	8.0%
Service	Veterans (18+)	6.9%
Health	With a disability	13.2%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	92.6%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	5.2%
Commute	Drove alone	74.0%
Commute	Public transit	1.1%
Commute	Worked from home	15.3%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$68,361	$69,616	$-1,255	$2,500	$57,114
2024	$741,910	$732,453	$19,045	$20,000	$691,729
2022	$880,637	$871,050	$9,588	$14,346	$667,752

Elections

2022 general house · CT-2 — lost_general
2024 general house · CT-2 — lost_general
2026 general house · CT-2 — running

Committees

AMERICA FIRST PATRIOTS PAC — principal · type N
AMERICA FIRST PATRIOTS PAC — leadership · type N
FRANCE FOR CT-02 — principal · type H
MIKE FRANCE CT2 — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2024	$45,000	$0	2
2022	$224,312	$0	12

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	SEAL PAC USA	support	$10,000	Digital Advertising
2024-09-23	SEAL PAC USA	support	$25,000	Digital Advertising
2024-02-22	SEAL PAC USA	support	$20,000	Digital Media Advertising
2022-11-07	NORTHEAST ACTION	support	$23,399	Media Placement
2022-11-03	JOBS OPPORTUNITY AND FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION C…	support	$5,518	11/4 to 11/8 Radio Advertising and Production
2022-11-01	NORTHEAST ACTION	support	$5,000	Radio Ads
2022-11-01	NORTHEAST ACTION	support	$43,275	Media Placement
2022-10-30	NORTHEAST ACTION	support	$10,000	Digital Ads
2022-10-28	NORTHEAST ACTION	support	$10,000	Media Placement
2022-10-17	SPECIAL OPERATIONS FOR AMERICA	support	$7,500	DIGITAL ADVERTISING
2022-10-17	SPECIAL OPERATIONS FOR AMERICA	support	$3,000	PRODUCTION COST: DIGITAL ADS
2022-10-11	SEAL PAC USA	support	$57,000	Digital Advertising
2022-09-27	SEAL PAC USA	support	$40,000	Digital Advertising
2022-09-24	NORTHEAST ACTION	support	$9,620	Media Production

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-11-24	WINRED	24K	$-10
2022-11-07	SEAL PAC USA	24E	$10,000
2022-11-07	NORTHEAST ACTION	24E	$23,399
2022-11-03	JOBS OPPORTUNITY AND FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION C…	24E	$5,518
2022-11-01	MR. SOUTHERN MISSOURIAN IN THE HOUSE PAC	24K	$2,500
2022-11-01	NORTHEAST ACTION	24E	$43,275
2022-11-01	NORTHEAST ACTION	24E	$5,000
2022-10-31	SUSAN B. ANTHONY LIST. INC. CANDIDATE FUND (DBA…	24K	$2,500
2022-10-31	NATIONAL CONSERVATIVE LEADERSHIP FUND	24K	$1,000
2022-10-30	NORTHEAST ACTION	24E	$10,000
2022-10-28	NORTHEAST ACTION	24E	$10,000
2022-10-27	DEMAND RESULTS PAC	24K	$2,900
2022-10-25	LOG CABIN REPUBLICANS PAC	24K	$5,000
2022-10-21	UNITED FOOD & COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONAL …	24N	$2,721
2022-10-19	BOG-PAC	24K	$2,900
2022-10-18	HOUSE CONSERVATIVES FUND	24K	$1,000
2022-10-17	SPECIAL OPERATIONS FOR AMERICA	24E	$3,000
2022-10-17	SPECIAL OPERATIONS FOR AMERICA	24E	$7,500
2022-10-17	JAM PAC	24K	$2,500
2022-10-14	AFL-CIO	24N	$62
2022-10-11	SEAL PAC USA	24E	$57,000
2022-10-05	UPPER HAND FUND	24K	$2,900
2022-10-05	HEARTDOCPAC	24K	$1,000
2022-10-02	CONNECTICUT REPUBLICAN STATE CENTRAL COMMITTEE,…	24Z	$4,759
2022-09-30	PATRIOTS IN ACTION	24K	$2,000

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee AMERICA FIRST PATRIOTS PAC.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
DICK, JONNA L	RETIRED · RETIRED	SEWARD, AK	1	$99
PIRRO, TOM	THOMAS J PIRRO JR FUNERAL HOME · FUNERAL DIRECTOR	CENTRAL SQUARE, NY	1	$95
GUSMANO, CATHERINE	RETIRED · RETIRED	GROSSE POINTE SHORES, MI	1	$95
HODGES, MEREDITH	SELF · PRODUCER	LOVELAND, CO	1	$95
MARTIN, TAMERA	RETIRED · RETIRED	DIMMITT, TX	1	$95
MALONEY, LISA	ANCHOR OF HOPE · EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR	GALES FERRY, CT	1	$52
EAST, ALICE GKK	SELF · RANCHER	LINN, TX	1	$49
DIRDA, THOMAS	RETIRED · RETIRED	MC KEES ROCKS, PA	1	$47
KELLERMAN, AMY	SELF · ONLINE STORE	JAMUL, CA	1	$47
WALKER, GLORIA JEAN	RETIRED · RETIRED	WICKENBURG, AZ	1	$44
NAHAS, YOUSSEF	RETIRED · RETIRED	CLIFTON, NJ	2	$42
GRECH, ANGELA	RETIRED · RETIRED	SAN CARLOS, CA	3	$42
BRIGGS, BRIAN	—	BUCKEYE, AZ	1	$40
SIMPSON, TERRENCE	—	BOULDER CITY, NV	2	$40
JOHNSON, PAMELA	RETIRED · RETIRED	CLARKSBURG, MD	3	$27
FALCONE, JULIA	RETIRED · RETIRED	FAYETTEVILLE, AR	1	$24
DANIELS, SUSAN	RETIRED · RETIRED	MANVEL, TX	1	$23
MCMULLAN, W PATRICK	RETIRED · RETIRED	BROOKLYN, NY	1	$23
EYMIL, CHERYLE	RETIRED · RETIRED	ANACORTES, WA	1	$23
RYBERG, JANICE	RETIRED · RETIRED	SANTA MARIA, CA	1	$23
NOBLITT, LIANA	RETIRED · RETIRED	YARNELL, AZ	1	$23
WALLACE, CAMILLE	RETIRED · RETIRED	GARNER, NC	1	$20
HALL, MARY ANN	RETIRED · RETIRED	INDIANAPOLIS, IN	1	$20
HERD, CATHI	RETIRED · RETIRED	NAVARRE, FL	1	$20
PORTER, O. HENRY	RETIRED · RETIRED	ROSSVILLE, GA	1	$20

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee MIKE FRANCE CT2.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
FRANCE, BRUCE	RETIRED · RETIRED	METAIRIE, LA	1	$1,041

Connected on the graph

Inbound (88)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	SEAL PAC USA	supports_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
2024-09-23	SEAL PAC USA	supports_independently	$25,000	fec_ies
2024-02-22	SEAL PAC USA	supports_independently	$20,000	fec_ies
2022-11-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-11-07	SEAL PAC USA	contributed_to	$10,000	pas2
2022-11-07	NORTHEAST ACTION	contributed_to	$23,399	pas2
2022-11-07	NORTHEAST ACTION	supports_independently	$23,399	fec_ies
2022-11-03	JOBS OPPORTUNITY AND FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE - JOFPAC	contributed_to	$5,518	pas2
2022-11-03	JOBS OPPORTUNITY AND FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE - JOFPAC	supports_independently	$5,518	fec_ies
2022-11-01	MR. SOUTHERN MISSOURIAN IN THE HOUSE PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-11-01	NORTHEAST ACTION	supports_independently	$43,275	fec_ies
2022-11-01	NORTHEAST ACTION	supports_independently	$5,000	fec_ies
2022-11-01	NORTHEAST ACTION	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-11-01	NORTHEAST ACTION	contributed_to	$43,275	pas2
2022-10-31	SUSAN B. ANTHONY LIST. INC. CANDIDATE FUND (DBA SUSAN B. ANTHONY PRO-LIFE AMERICA CANDIDATE FUND)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-31	NATIONAL CONSERVATIVE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-30	NORTHEAST ACTION	contributed_to	$10,000	pas2
2022-10-30	NORTHEAST ACTION	supports_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
2022-10-28	NORTHEAST ACTION	contributed_to	$10,000	pas2
2022-10-28	NORTHEAST ACTION	supports_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
2022-10-27	DEMAND RESULTS PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-10-25	LOG CABIN REPUBLICANS PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-21	UNITED FOOD & COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONAL UNION	contributed_to	$2,721	pas2
2022-10-19	BOG-PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-10-18	HOUSE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-17	SPECIAL OPERATIONS FOR AMERICA	supports_independently	$7,500	fec_ies
2022-10-17	SPECIAL OPERATIONS FOR AMERICA	supports_independently	$3,000	fec_ies
2022-10-17	JAM PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-17	SPECIAL OPERATIONS FOR AMERICA	contributed_to	$7,500	pas2
2022-10-17	SPECIAL OPERATIONS FOR AMERICA	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2022-10-14	AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$62	pas2
2022-10-11	SEAL PAC USA	contributed_to	$57,000	pas2
2022-10-11	SEAL PAC USA	supports_independently	$57,000	fec_ies
2022-10-05	HEARTDOCPAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-05	UPPER HAND FUND	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-10-02	CONNECTICUT REPUBLICAN STATE CENTRAL COMMITTEE, INC.	contributed_to	$4,759	pas2
2022-09-30	RANGER PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-30	FREEDOM'S DEFENSE FUND	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-30	PATRIOTS IN ACTION	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-30	INVEST IN A STRONG AND SECURE AMERICA	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-30	VITORIA PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-27	SEAL PAC USA	contributed_to	$40,000	pas2
2022-09-27	SEAL PAC USA	supports_independently	$40,000	fec_ies
2022-09-24	NORTHEAST ACTION	contributed_to	$9,620	pas2
2022-09-24	NORTHEAST ACTION	supports_independently	$9,620	fec_ies
2022-09-23	BRINGING REPUBLICAN EXCELLENCE TO TOWN PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-23	HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-19	CPAC ACTION PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-14	LEADERSHIP CONNECTICUT PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-03	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-08-31	FOREVER YOUTH ORGANIZATION UTILIZING A NEW GENERATION PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-08-30	SUPPORT TAXFIGHTERS & ELECT EFFECTIVE LEADERS PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-08-25	CLF	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-08-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-08-22	PINE TREES PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-08-21	GSL PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-08-16	THE EYE OF THE TIGER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-08-16	SCALISE FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-08-16	PATRIOTS ALWAYS TRIUMPH	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-08-11	NRCC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-08-11	ROUGHRIDER PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-08-09	SEAL PAC SUPPORTING ELECTING AMERICAN LEADERS PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-08-08	CLF	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-08-08	ELISE FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-08-04	MAJORITY COMMITTEE PAC--MC PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-08-04	HUDSON FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-08-04	MAJORITY COMMITTEE PAC--MC PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-07-13	VICTORY EAST	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-07-01	SERVICE KNOWLEDGE OATH LEADERSHIP PAC (SKOL PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-07-01	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-06-29	STOP COLLECTIVISM OR TOTALITARIANISM TRIUMPHS PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-05-19	GRASSROOTS EAST - FEDERAL	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-04-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-03-11	WINRED	contributed_to	$-75	pas2
2022-03-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$-750	pas2
2022-03-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-75	pas2
2022-03-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-250	pas2
2022-03-07	VICTORY EAST	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-03-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$-120	pas2
2022-01-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$-250	pas2
2022-01-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$-75	pas2
2022-01-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-70	pas2
2022-01-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$-120	pas2
2022-01-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$-250	pas2
2022-01-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$-75	pas2
2022-01-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-120	pas2
2022-01-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-75	pas2
2022-01-06	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2

Outbound (4)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	leadership_committee_of	AMERICA FIRST PATRIOTS PAC	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	MIKE FRANCE CT2	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	FRANCE FOR CT-02	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	AMERICA FIRST PATRIOTS PAC	—	candidate_committees

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