DENARDIS, LESLEY
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2CT03110- Internal id
f4c4bd1a-4991-46c4-bd16-979cd54a68c4- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CT-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 724,297 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $90,395 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $49,313 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.4% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.464 |
| Race | White alone | 62.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 14.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 18.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 14.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 78.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 11.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 69.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 40.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 19.3% |
| Household | Family households | 62.1% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.41 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 39.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $351,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,535 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 54.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 7.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 6.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 70.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $46,978 | $46,978 | $0 | $0 | $43,978 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· CT-3 β lost_general
Committees
- DENARDIS FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-22 | GRASSROOTS EAST - FEDERAL | 24K | $100 |
| 2022-09-16 | WINRED | 24K | $-60 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (3)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-22 | GRASSROOTS EAST - FEDERAL | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $100 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-09-22 | GRASSROOTS EAST - FEDERAL | contributed_to | $100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-60 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | DENARDIS FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |