STEVENSON, JAYME MRS.

R · house

FEC candidate id: H2CT04134
Internal id: f2ff4625-68d8-4f57-9d3b-86c33cf34c24
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CT-04. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	728,656
People	Median age	40
Income	Median household income	$119,442
Income	Per-capita income	$77,727
Income	In poverty	9.5%
Income	Unemployed	5.9%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.558
Race	White alone	58.7%
Race	Black alone	11.1%
Race	Asian alone	6.0%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	22.8%
Race	Two or more races	13.3%
Origin	Foreign-born	23.9%
Language	Speaks English only at home	68.0%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	17.8%
Education	High school or higher	72.2%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	53.8%
Education	Advanced degree	24.6%
Household	Family households	68.1%
Household	Avg household size	2.66
Household	Never married (15+)	35.0%
Housing	Median home value	$663,200
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,904
Housing	Single-family detached	54.6%
Housing	Built before 1940	6.9%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.9%
Housing	Vacant units	5.8%
Service	Veterans (18+)	2.8%
Health	With a disability	10.1%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	93.7%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	4.6%
Commute	Drove alone	58.3%
Commute	Public transit	8.0%
Commute	Worked from home	20.6%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$21,614	$80,313	$0	$175,000	$0
2022	$560,800	$502,101	$58,699	$175,000	$383,450

Elections

2022 general house · CT-4 — lost_general

Committees

JAYME STEVENSON FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$73,646	$0	7

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2022-11-03	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	support	$3,606	Text Messages
2022-11-01	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	support	$3,606	Text Messages
2022-10-31	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	support	$46,281	Direct Mail
2022-10-21	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	support	$302	Audio Production
2022-10-21	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	support	$5,155	Outdoor Advertising
2022-10-20	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	support	$9,021	Media-Radio
2022-10-11	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	support	$5,675	Digital Advertising

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-11-07	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	24E	$2,004
2022-11-03	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	24E	$3,606
2022-11-01	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	24E	$3,606
2022-10-31	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	24E	$46,280
2022-10-21	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	24E	$301
2022-10-21	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	24E	$5,155
2022-10-20	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	24E	$9,021
2022-10-19	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	24E	$19,515
2022-10-14	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	24E	$350
2022-10-14	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	24E	$1,500
2022-10-11	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	24E	$5,675
2022-09-14	LEADERSHIP CONNECTICUT PAC	24K	$500
2022-09-13	GRASSROOTS EAST - FEDERAL	24K	$100
2022-08-04	WINRED	24K	$-2,000
2022-06-02	WINRED	24K	$-1,000
2022-04-11	WINRED	24K	$-1,000
2022-03-26	WINRED	24K	$-250
2022-03-23	WINRED	24K	$-100

Connected on the graph

Inbound (25)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-11-07	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	contributed_to	$2,004	pas2
2022-11-03	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	contributed_to	$3,606	pas2
2022-11-03	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	supports_independently	$3,606	fec_ies
2022-11-01	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	contributed_to	$3,606	pas2
2022-11-01	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	supports_independently	$3,606	fec_ies
2022-10-31	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	contributed_to	$46,280	pas2
2022-10-31	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	supports_independently	$46,281	fec_ies
2022-10-21	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	supports_independently	$5,155	fec_ies
2022-10-21	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	supports_independently	$302	fec_ies
2022-10-21	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	contributed_to	$301	pas2
2022-10-21	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	contributed_to	$5,155	pas2
2022-10-20	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	supports_independently	$9,021	fec_ies
2022-10-20	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	contributed_to	$9,021	pas2
2022-10-19	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	contributed_to	$19,515	pas2
2022-10-14	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	contributed_to	$350	pas2
2022-10-14	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-10-11	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	supports_independently	$5,675	fec_ies
2022-10-11	COMMON SENSE FOR CONNECTICUT	contributed_to	$5,675	pas2
2022-09-14	LEADERSHIP CONNECTICUT PAC	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-09-13	GRASSROOTS EAST - FEDERAL	contributed_to	$100	pas2
2022-08-04	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,000	pas2
2022-06-02	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-04-11	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-03-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-250	pas2
2022-03-23	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	JAYME STEVENSON FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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