HAWK, DANIELLE NICOLE
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2FL03163- Internal id
4b31f8bc-84fb-4049-845c-e0527cf245fa- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 798,141 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $60,712 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $34,066 |
| Income | In poverty | 17.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.482 |
| Race | White alone | 67.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 15.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 12.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 8.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 86.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 8.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 29.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.0% |
| Household | Family households | 61.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.39 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 35.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $242,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,219 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 56.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 11.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $83,335 | $71,457 | $5,347 | $0 | $81,715 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· FL-3 β lost_general
Committees
- HAWK FOR THE PEOPLE β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| β | EVERYTOWN FOR GUN SAFETY VICTORY FUND (EVERYTOWβ¦ | 24E | $4 |
| 2022-10-20 | HER BOLD MOVE ACTION | 24K | $500 |
| 2022-10-03 | EVERYTOWN FOR GUN SAFETY ACTION FUND, INC. PAC β¦ | 24K | $1,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (3)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | EVERYTOWN FOR GUN SAFETY VICTORY FUND (EVERYTOWN VICTORY FUND) | contributed_to | $4 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-20 | HER BOLD MOVE ACTION | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-03 | EVERYTOWN FOR GUN SAFETY ACTION FUND, INC. PAC (EVERYTOWN PAC) | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | HAWK FOR THE PEOPLE | β | candidate_committees |