MACIE, MARA HEATHER
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2FL04203- Internal id
2c279122-3725-4427-9fdd-c2295110ccf1- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-05. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 818,508 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $89,255 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $50,551 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.470 |
| Race | White alone | 66.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 11.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 5.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 12.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 12.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 13.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 82.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 8.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 67.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 46.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 16.4% |
| Household | Family households | 64.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.46 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $409,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,654 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 58.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 9.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 21.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $3 | $936 | $5,697 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $71,790 | $68,035 | $6,630 | $0 | $65,983 |
| 2022 | $24,305 | $21,429 | $2,875 | $0 | $22,743 |
Elections
Committees
- MARA MACIE FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $6,400 | $0 | 1 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-18 | GATORPAC | support | $6,400 | Texting |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (1)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-18 | GATORPAC | supports_independently | $6,400 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MARA MACIE FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |