ROBERTS, RUSSELL L. MR.
R · house
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- FEC candidate id
H2FL07263- Internal id
acc14719-29a9-42d2-bed8-78f7ab282dac- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-07. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 789,605 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $81,536 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $43,482 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.438 |
| Race | White alone | 64.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 9.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 21.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 14.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 12.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 79.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 14.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 36.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.8% |
| Household | Family households | 66.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.48 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $354,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,748 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 64.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 0.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.7% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 69.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 19.3% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $11,238 | $22,475 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $343,808 | $332,571 | $11,238 | $50,000 | $217,965 |
Elections
- 2022 general house · FL-7 — lost_general
Committees
- RUSTY ROBERTS FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-30 | VICTORY AND FREEDOM PAC (VAF PAC) | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-08-22 | NATIONAL ASPHALT PAVEMENT ASSOCIATION POLITICAL… | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-08-16 | VICTORY AND FREEDOM PAC (VAF PAC) | 24K | $-1,000 |
| 2022-07-26 | BUILD POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF THE NATIONA… | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-07-20 | VICTORY AND FREEDOM PAC (VAF PAC) | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-07-18 | GRANITE CONSTRUCTION INC. EMPLOYEE PAC - GRANIT… | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-06-30 | SMART TD PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-06-13 | AMERICAN ROAD & TRANSPORTATION BUILDERS ASSOCIA… | 24K | $500 |
| 2022-06-10 | AMERICAN SHORT LINE AND REGIONAL RAILROAD ASSOC… | 24K | $500 |
| 2022-05-14 | WINRED | 24K | $-500 |
| 2022-04-04 | HNTB HOLDINGS LTD. PAC | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-03-30 | LOG CABIN REPUBLICANS PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-03-29 | BRIGHTLINE HOLDINGS LLC PAC (BRIGHTLINE PAC) | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-03-15 | FLORIDA TRANSPORTATION BUILDERS ASSOCIATION, IN… | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-03-10 | UNUM GROUP POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (UNUMPAC) | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-03-09 | DECIDING CRITICAL RACES PAC (DCR PAC) | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-03-09 | BGR PAC | 24Z | $250 |
| 2022-03-07 | BILL PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (18)
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | principal_candidate_of | RUSTY ROBERTS FOR CONGRESS | — | candidate_committees |