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HARTMAN, RALPH

OTHER Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2FL16116
Internal id
024b6b16-0d3c-482a-b1ec-30465a7182b3
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-17. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation828,650
PeopleMedian age55
IncomeMedian household income$76,106
IncomePer-capita income$48,835
IncomeIn poverty9.8%
IncomeUnemployed4.2%
IncomeGini inequality index0.488
RaceWhite alone77.3%
RaceBlack alone5.4%
RaceAsian alone1.7%
RaceHispanic or Latino15.3%
RaceTwo or more races12.0%
OriginForeign-born14.4%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home82.1%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home11.6%
EducationHigh school or higher62.2%
EducationBachelor's or higher33.3%
EducationAdvanced degree13.5%
HouseholdFamily households64.7%
HouseholdAvg household size2.26
HouseholdNever married (15+)22.4%
HousingMedian home value$364,500
HousingMedian gross rent$1,701
HousingSingle-family detached62.0%
HousingBuilt before 19400.7%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.9%
HousingVacant units20.2%
ServiceVeterans (18+)9.1%
HealthWith a disability16.0%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband92.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet4.9%
CommuteDrove alone71.6%
CommutePublic transit0.4%
CommuteWorked from home15.8%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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