MARINER, JASON
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2FL20290- Internal id
05228f4b-764b-4c5b-a568-47db97de2880- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-20. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 792,510 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $64,018 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $31,663 |
| Income | In poverty | 16.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.450 |
| Race | White alone | 22.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 49.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 24.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 18.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 36.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 61.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 21.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 56.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 25.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.2% |
| Household | Family households | 64.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.74 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 39.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $321,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,744 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 39.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 6.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $127,229 | $127,102 | $128 | $4,211 | $104,029 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· FL-20 β lost_general
Committees
- FRIENDS OF JASON MARINER β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-07 | REPUBLICAN PARTY OF PALM BEACH COUNTY | 24K | $-13,000 |
| 2022-01-05 | REPUBLICAN PARTY OF PALM BEACH COUNTY | 24K | $-5,000 |
| 2022-01-04 | REPUBLICAN PARTY OF PALM BEACH COUNTY | 24K | $-300 |
| 2022-01-03 | REPUBLICAN PARTY OF PALM BEACH COUNTY | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-01-03 | REPUBLICAN PARTY OF PALM BEACH COUNTY | 24K | $-5,000 |
| 2021-12-21 | REPUBLICAN PARTY OF PALM BEACH COUNTY | 24K | $15,000 |
| 2021-12-02 | REPUBLICAN PARTY OF PALM BEACH COUNTY | 24K | $3,000 |
| 2021-11-19 | REPUBLICAN PARTY OF PALM BEACH COUNTY | 24K | $5,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (8)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-07 | REPUBLICAN PARTY OF PALM BEACH COUNTY | contributed_to | $-13,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | REPUBLICAN PARTY OF PALM BEACH COUNTY | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-04 | REPUBLICAN PARTY OF PALM BEACH COUNTY | contributed_to | $-300 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-03 | REPUBLICAN PARTY OF PALM BEACH COUNTY | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-03 | REPUBLICAN PARTY OF PALM BEACH COUNTY | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-21 | REPUBLICAN PARTY OF PALM BEACH COUNTY | contributed_to | $15,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-02 | REPUBLICAN PARTY OF PALM BEACH COUNTY | contributed_to | $3,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-11-19 | REPUBLICAN PARTY OF PALM BEACH COUNTY | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | FRIENDS OF JASON MARINER | β | candidate_committees |