MURPHY, PATRICK E

D · house · bioguide M001191

FEC candidate id: H2FL22072
Internal id: 51bb2ca6-59ab-4ee8-aa89-423f1fbe9aa7
Status: incumbent

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-18. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	825,024
People	Median age	41
Income	Median household income	$62,039
Income	Per-capita income	$31,891
Income	In poverty	16.1%
Income	Unemployed	4.9%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.455
Race	White alone	58.1%
Race	Black alone	13.2%
Race	Asian alone	1.5%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	29.7%
Race	Two or more races	14.6%
Origin	Foreign-born	13.2%
Language	Speaks English only at home	72.5%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	23.2%
Education	High school or higher	54.7%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	20.6%
Education	Advanced degree	7.0%
Household	Family households	67.6%
Household	Avg household size	2.61
Household	Never married (15+)	31.2%
Housing	Median home value	$233,300
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,184
Housing	Single-family detached	59.9%
Housing	Built before 1940	1.6%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	3.6%
Housing	Vacant units	16.6%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.4%
Health	With a disability	15.3%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	88.4%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	8.7%
Commute	Drove alone	74.8%
Commute	Public transit	0.5%
Commute	Worked from home	10.1%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2016	$18,700,098	$19,154,368	$82,388	$0	$13,559,246
2014	$5,189,801	$4,924,768	$536,659	$0	$3,573,412
2012	$4,752,054	$4,480,428	$271,626	$0	$3,927,631

Elections

2012 general house · FL-18 — won
2014 general house · FL-18 — won
2016 general house · FL-18 — lost_general

Committees

DEUTCH MURPHY VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type H
FRANKEL MURPHY VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type H
MURPHY ELECTION PROTECTION FUND — joint_fundraising · type N
MURPHY GRAHAM VICTORY FOR FLORIDA — joint_fundraising · type H
PATRICK MURPHY VICTORY FUND 2014 — joint_fundraising · type N
PEM PAC — principal · type N
PEM PAC — independent · type N

Recent votes

No votes on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 99.0%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
incumbent	+78.0%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (9)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 2880 — Martin Luther King, Jr. National Historical Park Act of 2016	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
—	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 4539 — 400 Years of African-American History Commission Act	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
—	independent_committee_of	PEM PAC	—		candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	MURPHY GRAHAM VICTORY FOR FLORIDA	—		candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	MURPHY ELECTION PROTECTION FUND	—		candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	FRANKEL MURPHY VICTORY FUND	—		candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	DEUTCH MURPHY VICTORY FUND	—		candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	PATRICK MURPHY VICTORY FUND 2014	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	PEM PAC	—		candidate_committees

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