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EARLS, HAROLD

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2GA06123
Internal id
0b2480f4-bf40-40df-a8db-4812ecf842a8
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), GA-06. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation778,880
PeopleMedian age36
IncomeMedian household income$89,755
IncomePer-capita income$54,277
IncomeIn poverty11.0%
IncomeUnemployed5.1%
IncomeGini inequality index0.496
RaceWhite alone30.3%
RaceBlack alone51.2%
RaceAsian alone3.4%
RaceHispanic or Latino12.8%
RaceTwo or more races7.8%
OriginForeign-born13.0%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home82.1%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home10.9%
EducationHigh school or higher67.5%
EducationBachelor's or higher47.7%
EducationAdvanced degree19.1%
HouseholdFamily households57.7%
HouseholdAvg household size2.42
HouseholdNever married (15+)42.2%
HousingMedian home value$355,900
HousingMedian gross rent$1,714
HousingSingle-family detached53.8%
HousingBuilt before 19401.2%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.2%
HousingVacant units8.3%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.4%
HealthWith a disability10.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband95.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet3.1%
CommuteDrove alone65.4%
CommutePublic transit1.9%
CommuteWorked from home22.2%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2022$488,639$488,639$0$0$425,512

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-07-22SEAL PAC SUPPORTING ELECTING AMERICAN LEADERS P…24K$-2,500
2022-07-12WINRED24K$-1
2022-04-09WINRED24K$-5
2021-11-26WINRED24K$-25
2021-10-25SEAL PAC SUPPORTING ELECTING AMERICAN LEADERS P…24K$2,500
2021-09-01WINRED24K$-1
2021-08-11WINRED24K$-1
2021-08-11RAZOR PAC24K$1,000
2021-08-09WINRED24K$-1
2021-08-04SEAL PAC SUPPORTING ELECTING AMERICAN LEADERS P…24K$2,500
2021-07-26ARMSTRONG FOR CONGRESS24K$1,000
2021-07-04WINRED24K$-15
2021-06-11WINRED24K$2,900
2021-05-21WINRED24K$5
2021-03-19VOLUNTEERS FOR SHIMKUS24K$500

Connected on the graph

Inbound (15)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-07-22SEAL PAC SUPPORTING ELECTING AMERICAN LEADERS PACcontributed_to$-2,500pas2
2022-07-12WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-04-09WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2021-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2021-10-25SEAL PAC SUPPORTING ELECTING AMERICAN LEADERS PACcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2021-09-01WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2021-08-11WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2021-08-11RAZOR PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2021-08-09WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2021-08-04SEAL PAC SUPPORTING ELECTING AMERICAN LEADERS PACcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2021-07-26ARMSTRONG FOR CONGRESScontributed_to$1,000pas2
2021-07-04WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2021-06-11WINREDcontributed_to$2,900pas2
2021-05-21WINREDcontributed_to$5pas2
2021-03-19VOLUNTEERS FOR SHIMKUScontributed_to$500pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofEARLS FOR GEORGIAβ€”candidate_committees

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