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BRANCO, PATRICK PIHANA

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2HI02599
Internal id
141c7b97-d3a4-49c0-8b88-452731a1798c
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), HI-02. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation725,590
PeopleMedian age41
IncomeMedian household income$95,891
IncomePer-capita income$43,099
IncomeIn poverty11.1%
IncomeUnemployed5.2%
IncomeGini inequality index0.455
RaceWhite alone28.3%
RaceBlack alone1.8%
RaceAsian alone24.3%
RaceHispanic or Latino11.6%
RaceTwo or more races31.0%
OriginForeign-born12.9%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home79.9%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home2.4%
EducationHigh school or higher61.9%
EducationBachelor's or higher32.3%
EducationAdvanced degree12.0%
HouseholdFamily households70.3%
HouseholdAvg household size2.96
HouseholdNever married (15+)33.4%
HousingMedian home value$796,100
HousingMedian gross rent$1,955
HousingSingle-family detached66.5%
HousingBuilt before 19402.8%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)8.6%
HousingVacant units17.1%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.7%
HealthWith a disability13.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband92.4%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet5.3%
CommuteDrove alone68.5%
CommutePublic transit1.9%
CommuteWorked from home10.1%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2022$185,979$185,979$0$0$119,819

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2022$597,632$05

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
β€”CHC BOLD PACsupport$12,000Advertising Production Costs - Estimate
β€”DAO FOR AMERICAsupport$37,187Direct Mail
2022-07-19CHC BOLD PACsupport$290,995Television, Radio, OTT Buy - Estimate
2022-07-13WEB3 FORWARDsupport$8,450IE-Branco-Media Production
2022-07-08WEB3 FORWARDsupport$249,000IE-Branco-Media Buy

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
β€”CHC BOLD PAC24E$12,000
2022-08-26DEMOCRATS RESHAPING AMERICA (DREAMPAC)24K$-1,500
2022-08-12LGBTQ VICTORY FUND FEDERAL PAC24K$5,000
2022-08-10CHC BOLD PAC24E$12,000
2022-08-10CHC BOLD PAC24E$3,042
2022-08-08DAO FOR AMERICA24E$147,000
2022-08-08DAO FOR AMERICA24E$147,000
2022-08-04NEW DEMOCRAT COALITION ACTION FUND24K$4,000
2022-07-29DAO FOR AMERICA24E$74,373
2022-07-29DAO FOR AMERICA24E$74,373
2022-07-27INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SHEET METAL, AIR, …24K$3,000
2022-07-27NATIONAL UNION OF HEALTHCARE WORKERS FEDERAL CO…24K$5,000
2022-07-25WITH HONOR PAC24K$5,000
2022-07-19CHC BOLD PAC24E$390,995
2022-07-14HUMAN RIGHTS CAMPAIGN PAC24K$1,000
2022-07-13WEB3 FORWARD24E$8,450
2022-07-11VOTEVETS24K$-5,000
2022-07-11VOTEVETS24K$5,000
2022-07-08WEB3 FORWARD24E$249,000
2022-07-05CICILLINE COMMITTEE24K$2,000
2022-06-30DOING RIGHT - RESULTS ACTION UNITY LEADERSHIP P…24K$1,000
2022-06-29LA BAMBA PAC24K$1,000
2022-06-29VPP24K$2,500
2022-06-28LATINO LEADERS FOR EQUALITY, GROWTH, OPPORTUNIT…24K$2,500
2022-06-28RIPPLE OF HOPE PAC24K$1,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (40)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
β€”CHC BOLD PACcontributed_to$12,000pas2
β€”DAO FOR AMERICAsupports_independently$37,187fec_ies
β€”CHC BOLD PACsupports_independently$12,000fec_ies
2022-08-26DEMOCRATS RESHAPING AMERICA (DREAMPAC)contributed_to$-1,500pas2
2022-08-12LGBTQ VICTORY FUND FEDERAL PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-08-10CHC BOLD PACcontributed_to$3,042pas2
2022-08-10CHC BOLD PACcontributed_to$12,000pas2
2022-08-08DAO FOR AMERICAcontributed_to$147,000pas2
2022-08-08DAO FOR AMERICAcontributed_to$147,000pas2
2022-08-04NEW DEMOCRAT COALITION ACTION FUNDcontributed_to$4,000pas2
2022-07-29DAO FOR AMERICAcontributed_to$74,373pas2
2022-07-29DAO FOR AMERICAcontributed_to$74,373pas2
2022-07-27NATIONAL UNION OF HEALTHCARE WORKERS FEDERAL COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATIONcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-07-27INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SHEET METAL, AIR, RAIL AND TRANSPORTATION WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION LEAGUEcontributed_to$3,000pas2
2022-07-25WITH HONOR PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-07-19CHC BOLD PACsupports_independently$290,995fec_ies
2022-07-19CHC BOLD PACcontributed_to$390,995pas2
2022-07-14HUMAN RIGHTS CAMPAIGN PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-07-13WEB3 FORWARDcontributed_to$8,450pas2
2022-07-13WEB3 FORWARDsupports_independently$8,450fec_ies
2022-07-11VOTEVETScontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-07-11VOTEVETScontributed_to$-5,000pas2
2022-07-08WEB3 FORWARDcontributed_to$249,000pas2
2022-07-08WEB3 FORWARDsupports_independently$249,000fec_ies
2022-07-05CICILLINE COMMITTEEcontributed_to$2,000pas2
2022-06-30DOING RIGHT - RESULTS ACTION UNITY LEADERSHIP PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-06-29LA BAMBA PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-06-29VPPcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2022-06-28LATINO LEADERS FOR EQUALITY, GROWTH, OPPORTUNITY, PROGRESSIVE ACTION & CHANGE (LLEGO-PAC)contributed_to$2,500pas2
2022-06-28RIPPLE OF HOPE PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-06-28TONY CARDENAS FOR CONGRESScontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-06-28DEMOCRATS RESHAPING AMERICA (DREAMPAC)contributed_to$1,500pas2
2022-06-24ALEXANDER AND BALDWIN INC FEDPACcontributed_to$500pas2
2022-06-23VOTEVETScontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-06-13MATSON, INC. FEDERAL ELECTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-06-09EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUNDcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-06-08SALTCHUK RESOURCES, INC. PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-06-06NEW DEMOCRAT COALITION ACTION FUNDcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-05-31TONY CARDENAS FOR CONGRESScontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-05-24CHC BOLD PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofBRANCO FOR HAWAIIβ€”candidate_committees

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