ABEL, JOHN
I Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2ID01069- Internal id
aa3844ad-d2a3-4ab7-b4a2-d18cb79c1aa2- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), ID-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 986,280 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $79,577 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $39,292 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.436 |
| Race | White alone | 82.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 0.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 12.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 9.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 4.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 90.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 6.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 57.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 30.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.6% |
| Household | Family households | 70.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.65 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 26.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $445,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,330 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 77.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.7% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.3% |
Elections
- 1992 general house Β· ID-1 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.