CRAPO, MICHAEL D
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2ID02034- Internal id
8d4dda07-ab46-49af-b6cf-a9dc6e14ea0b- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), ID-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 947,982 |
| People | Median age | 35 |
| Income | Median household income | $75,805 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $38,598 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.453 |
| Race | White alone | 80.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 0.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 14.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 9.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 87.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 9.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 58.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 33.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.6% |
| Household | Family households | 66.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.63 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $386,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,183 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 69.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.3% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | $0 | $440 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2000 | $1,172 | $10,020 | $439 | $0 | $0 |
| 1998 | $183,143 | $358,889 | $9,331 | $0 | $39,831 |
| 1996 | $642,602 | $619,581 | $185,075 | $0 | $206,264 |
| 1994 | $511,946 | $352,461 | $162,055 | $0 | $174,519 |
| 1992 | $546,326 | $543,756 | $2,568 | $52,345 | $271,008 |
Elections
- 1992 general house Β· ID-2 β lost_general
- 1994 general house Β· ID-2 β running
- 1996 general house Β· ID-2 β running
- 1998 general house Β· ID-2 β lost_general
Committees
- MIKE CRAPO FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-06 | NIXON PEABODY LLP PAC | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-10-28 | NATIONAL COUNCIL OF TEXTILE ORGANIZATIONS INC P⦠| 24K | $2,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-06 | NIXON PEABODY LLP PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-28 | NATIONAL COUNCIL OF TEXTILE ORGANIZATIONS INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MIKE CRAPO FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |