LIPINSKI, WILLIAM O
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2IL05019- Internal id
0a1a92f3-116f-464c-8bf4-a41d09b13b53- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IL-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 739,663 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $88,650 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $43,296 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.454 |
| Race | White alone | 44.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 5.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 6.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 45.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 20.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 27.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 50.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 36.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 37.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.3% |
| Household | Family households | 63.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.69 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 41.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $359,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,445 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 40.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 4.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 2.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 57.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 10.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 17.3% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | $6,374 | $7,193 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2004 | $212,620 | $326,266 | $590 | $0 | $112,287 |
| 2002 | $382,938 | $419,274 | $114,236 | $0 | $126,233 |
| 2000 | $422,239 | $364,052 | $150,990 | $0 | $146,822 |
| 1998 | $387,981 | $326,204 | $90,841 | $0 | $153,555 |
| 1996 | $449,859 | $455,967 | $29,067 | $0 | $182,624 |
| 1994 | $378,373 | $366,804 | $35,162 | $0 | $123,060 |
| 1992 | $561,335 | $556,847 | $23,597 | $0 | $227,846 |
| 1990 | $183,213 | $171,746 | $19,110 | $0 | $44,710 |
| 1988 | $154,568 | $165,144 | $7,646 | $0 | $48,000 |
| 1986 | $150,297 | $152,573 | $18,225 | $0 | $0 |
| 1984 | $107,212 | $86,390 | $20,505 | $0 | $44,146 |
| 1982 | $85,219 | $64,185 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 1982 general house Β· IL-5 β won
- 1984 general house Β· IL-5 β won
- 1986 general house Β· IL-5 β won
- 1988 general house Β· IL-5 β won
- 1990 general house Β· IL-5 β won
- 1992 general house Β· IL-3 β won
- 1994 general house Β· IL-3 β won
- 1996 general house Β· IL-3 β won
- 1998 general house Β· IL-3 β won
- 2000 general house Β· IL-3 β won
- 2002 general house Β· IL-3 β won
- 2004 general house Β· IL-3 β won
Committees
- LIPINSKI FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | LIPINSKI FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |