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HANSON, TOMMY

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2IL05241
Internal id
f81cec4a-1df2-4740-8c22-a379b5272190
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IL-05. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation751,305
PeopleMedian age38
IncomeMedian household income$114,146
IncomePer-capita income$75,259
IncomeIn poverty7.1%
IncomeUnemployed4.0%
IncomeGini inequality index0.495
RaceWhite alone72.3%
RaceBlack alone2.8%
RaceAsian alone10.7%
RaceHispanic or Latino12.4%
RaceTwo or more races9.3%
OriginForeign-born19.9%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home72.3%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home7.9%
EducationHigh school or higher78.6%
EducationBachelor's or higher66.0%
EducationAdvanced degree28.1%
HouseholdFamily households51.9%
HouseholdAvg household size2.20
HouseholdNever married (15+)39.0%
HousingMedian home value$454,100
HousingMedian gross rent$1,779
HousingSingle-family detached34.5%
HousingBuilt before 19404.8%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.8%
HousingVacant units6.6%
ServiceVeterans (18+)2.7%
HealthWith a disability8.4%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband93.2%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet3.8%
CommuteDrove alone45.5%
CommutePublic transit15.4%
CommuteWorked from home27.6%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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