GRASSO, GARY

R · house

FEC candidate id: H2IL06124
Internal id: 0af4474d-ce90-4519-a6ce-162d25383342
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IL-06. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	747,517
People	Median age	41
Income	Median household income	$99,953
Income	Per-capita income	$53,444
Income	In poverty	7.5%
Income	Unemployed	5.1%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.463
Race	White alone	72.4%
Race	Black alone	5.1%
Race	Asian alone	6.1%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	16.1%
Race	Two or more races	10.7%
Origin	Foreign-born	16.0%
Language	Speaks English only at home	73.6%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	10.4%
Education	High school or higher	66.4%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	44.2%
Education	Advanced degree	17.6%
Household	Family households	65.9%
Household	Avg household size	2.51
Household	Never married (15+)	31.3%
Housing	Median home value	$341,500
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,480
Housing	Single-family detached	60.1%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.6%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.0%
Housing	Vacant units	4.8%
Service	Veterans (18+)	4.2%
Health	With a disability	10.4%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	93.2%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	5.0%
Commute	Drove alone	69.0%
Commute	Public transit	4.5%
Commute	Worked from home	17.6%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$0	$0	$1,559	$250,000	$0
2024	$0	$885	$1,559	$250,000	$0
2022	$635,117	$632,673	$2,495	$250,000	$362,967

Elections

2022 general house · IL-6 — lost_general

Committees

GRASSOFORCONGRESS6 — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-10-14	WINRED	24K	$-500
2022-10-14	WINRED	24K	$-500
2022-06-21	LABORERS' INTERNATIONAL UNION OF NORTH AMERICA …	24K	$5,000
2022-06-13	SERVICE CORPORATION INTERNATIONAL PAC	24K	$2,900
2022-05-05	WINRED	24K	$-1
2022-04-19	AMERICAN BAKERS ASSOCIATION AMERICAN BAKERS POL…	24K	$1,000
2022-03-28	INTERNATIONAL UNION OF OPERATING ENGINEERS LOCA…	24K	$5,000
2022-03-28	INTERNATIONAL UNION OF OPERATING ENGINEERS LOCA…	24K	$5,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (8)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-10-14	WINRED	contributed_to	$-500	pas2
2022-10-14	WINRED	contributed_to	$-500	pas2
2022-06-21	LABORERS' INTERNATIONAL UNION OF NORTH AMERICA (LIUNA) PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-06-13	SERVICE CORPORATION INTERNATIONAL PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-05-05	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-04-19	AMERICAN BAKERS ASSOCIATION AMERICAN BAKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-03-28	INTERNATIONAL UNION OF OPERATING ENGINEERS LOCAL 150 POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-03-28	INTERNATIONAL UNION OF OPERATING ENGINEERS LOCAL 150 POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	GRASSOFORCONGRESS6	—		candidate_committees

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