AHMED, JUNAID

D · house

FEC candidate id: H2IL08146
Internal id: 8876824d-44cb-4dc7-a6a8-5a3f4c8fe6cb
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IL-08. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	746,772
People	Median age	40
Income	Median household income	$99,637
Income	Per-capita income	$46,456
Income	In poverty	7.4%
Income	Unemployed	4.5%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.417
Race	White alone	55.7%
Race	Black alone	4.8%
Race	Asian alone	13.9%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	25.1%
Race	Two or more races	14.2%
Origin	Foreign-born	28.0%
Language	Speaks English only at home	58.1%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	19.5%
Education	High school or higher	63.6%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	40.0%
Education	Advanced degree	13.8%
Household	Family households	69.7%
Household	Avg household size	2.65
Household	Never married (15+)	31.4%
Housing	Median home value	$326,100
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,597
Housing	Single-family detached	53.8%
Housing	Built before 1940	2.1%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	3.9%
Housing	Vacant units	3.7%
Service	Veterans (18+)	3.5%
Health	With a disability	9.3%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	94.4%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	4.0%
Commute	Drove alone	71.0%
Commute	Public transit	2.2%
Commute	Worked from home	15.7%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$1,599,970	$1,445,699	$154,271	$196,887	$1,397,467
2024	$12,047	$40,835	$0	$0	$0
2022	$1,607,396	$1,578,607	$28,789	$198,646	$1,313,532

Elections

2022 general house · IL-8 — lost_general
2026 general house · IL-8 — running

Committees

FRIENDS OF JUNAID — principal · type H
JUNAID FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2026	$258,809	$677,758	22

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC	support	$6,750	In-Kind - Non-Contribution Account - Production
2026-03-30	MUSLIM CIVIC COALITION-ACTIVATE	support	$400	Stipend for Campaign Catalyst Intern
2026-03-30	MUSLIM CIVIC COALITION-ACTIVATE	support	$400	Stipend for Campaign Catalyst Intern
2026-03-30	MUSLIM CIVIC COALITION-ACTIVATE	support	$419	Payroll for Primary Election Organizer (March)
2026-03-30	MUSLIM CIVIC COALITION-ACTIVATE	support	$400	Stipend for Campaign Catalyst Intern
2026-03-30	MUSLIM CIVIC COALITION-ACTIVATE	—	$513	Payroll for Primary Election Organizer (March)
2026-03-28	MUSLIM CIVIC COALITION-ACTIVATE	—	$269	Payroll for Primary Election Organizer (March)
2026-03-16	MUSLIM CIVIC COALITION-ACTIVATE	support	$10	Texts for Junaid
2026-03-12	CHICAGO PROGRESSIVE PARTNERSHIP	oppose	$500,000	Media Placement
2026-03-11	CONGRESSIONAL PROGRESSIVE CAUCUS PAC	support	$7,000	Television Ad Production - Estimate
2026-03-11	CONGRESSIONAL PROGRESSIVE CAUCUS PAC	support	$18,000	Television Ad Buy - Estimate
2026-03-11	MEDICARE FOR ALL	support	$18,000	TV Advertising - estimate
2026-03-11	MEDICARE FOR ALL	support	$7,000	TV Advertising Production - estimate
2026-03-10	CHICAGO PROGRESSIVE PARTNERSHIP	support	$150,000	Media Placement
2026-03-10	CHICAGO PROGRESSIVE PARTNERSHIP	oppose	$13,879	Media Production
2026-03-10	CHICAGO PROGRESSIVE PARTNERSHIP	oppose	$13,879	Media Production
2026-03-10	CHICAGO PROGRESSIVE PARTNERSHIP	oppose	$150,000	Media Placement
2026-03-09	JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC	support	$50,000	Non-Contribution Account - Digital Ad Buy
2026-03-03	MUSLIM CIVIC COALITION-ACTIVATE	support	$181	Canvassing / Phone Banking for Junaid
2026-03-03	MUSLIM CIVIC COALITION-ACTIVATE	support	$31	Canvassing / Phone Banking for Junaid
2026-03-03	MUSLIM CIVIC COALITION-ACTIVATE	support	$213	Canvassing / Phone Banking for Junaid
2026-03-02	MUSLIM CIVIC COALITION-ACTIVATE	support	$6	Mileage for Canvassing for Junaid

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-03-30	A NEW POLICY PAC	24K	$-1,650
2026-03-16	INSPIRING LEADERSHIP HAS A NAME PAC	24K	$5,000
2026-03-12	CHICAGO PROGRESSIVE PARTNERSHIP	24A	$500,000
2026-03-11	MEDICARE FOR ALL	24E	$18,000
2026-03-11	MEDICARE FOR ALL	24E	$7,000
2026-03-10	JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC	24E	$6,750
2026-03-10	CHICAGO PROGRESSIVE PARTNERSHIP	24A	$150,000
2026-03-10	CHICAGO PROGRESSIVE PARTNERSHIP	24A	$13,879
2026-03-09	JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC	24E	$50,000
2026-03-02	WARREN FOR SENATE, INC.	24K	$2,000
2026-03-02	NATIONAL NURSES UNITED PAC - A FUND FOR A HEALT…	24K	$3,000
2026-02-27	SUNRISE PAC	24K	$58
2026-02-25	END CITIZENS UNITED	24K	$1,000
2026-02-25	THE PEOPLE UNITED PAC	24E	$75
2026-02-07	THE PEOPLE UNITED PAC	24E	$75
2026-02-06	THE PEOPLE UNITED PAC	24E	$150
2026-01-27	ROOTED IN COMMUNITY LEADERSHIP PAC	24K	$2,500
2025-12-22	CONGRESSIONAL PROGRESSIVE CAUCUS PAC	24K	$5,000
2025-12-22	MEDICARE FOR ALL	24K	$5,000
2025-12-10	A NEW POLICY PAC	24K	$950
2025-10-07	THE JUSTICE COALITION ACTION PAC	24K	$3,500

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee FRIENDS OF JUNAID.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
SAEED, DANISH	SELF-EMPLOYED · PHYSICIAN	ALLENTOWN, PA	1	$1,000
MANNAN, ZAIN	WIZ, INC. · DATA ANALYST	ELLICOTT CITY, MD	1	$1,000
SIDDIQUE, MUHAMMAD	BAY HEMATOLOGY ONCOLOGY · PHYSICIAN	BOWIE, MD	1	$1,000
MANNAN, ARIF DR.	MANNAN PEDIATRICS · PHYSICIAN	ELLICOTT CITY, MD	1	$1,000
AHMAD, RIAZ	NSR PETRO SERVICES, LLC · SELF-EMPLOYED	CLARKSVILLE, MD	1	$500
AHMED, SAAD	THE CIGNA GROUP · DATA PROFESSIONAL	CHANTILLY, VA	1	$500
AHMED, UROOJ	SELF-EMPLOYED · PHYSICIAN	ELLICOTT CITY, MD	1	$500
HASSAN, HAZEM	REGENERON PHARMACEUTICALS, INC. · PHARMACOLOGIST	ELLICOTT CITY, MD	1	$500
MANNAN, BILAL	SELF-EMPLOYED · PHYSICIAN	ALLENTOWN, PA	1	$500
MANNAN, HAREEM	—	PLANO, TX	1	$500
MANNAN, SARA	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	ELLICOTT CITY, MD	1	$500
MANNAN, SOHAIB	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	ALLENTOWN, PA	1	$500
NASEEM, ARSHAD	DELOITTE & TOUCHE · MANAGER	LAUREL, MD	1	$500
RAIS, MUHAMMAD	SELF-EMPLOYED · PHYSICIAN	MIDLOTHIAN, VA	1	$500
AHMED, SADIA	SELF-EMPLOYED · PHYSICIAN	HAMILTON, NJ	1	$300
KHAN, MOGAMMED	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	CLARKSVILLE, MD	1	$250
HASHMI, NADEEM	SELF-EMPLOYED · PHYSICIAN	ELLICOTT CITY, MD	1	$250
UDDIN, SAMI	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	BOLINGBROOK, IL	1	$200
SAYEED, MOHAMMED	INFINITE SMILES DENTAL · DENTIST	BOLINGBROOK, IL	1	$100
DADANI, MOHAMMAD Y.	ORACLE · ENGINEER	PLANO, TX	1	$25

Connected on the graph

Inbound (43)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC	supports_independently	$6,750	fec_ies
2026-03-30	MUSLIM CIVIC COALITION-ACTIVATE	supports_independently	$400	fec_ies
2026-03-30	MUSLIM CIVIC COALITION-ACTIVATE	mentions_in_ie	$513	fec_ies
2026-03-30	MUSLIM CIVIC COALITION-ACTIVATE	supports_independently	$400	fec_ies
2026-03-30	A NEW POLICY PAC	contributed_to	$-1,650	pas2
2026-03-30	MUSLIM CIVIC COALITION-ACTIVATE	supports_independently	$419	fec_ies
2026-03-30	MUSLIM CIVIC COALITION-ACTIVATE	supports_independently	$400	fec_ies
2026-03-28	MUSLIM CIVIC COALITION-ACTIVATE	mentions_in_ie	$269	fec_ies
2026-03-16	INSPIRING LEADERSHIP HAS A NAME PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-16	MUSLIM CIVIC COALITION-ACTIVATE	supports_independently	$10	fec_ies
2026-03-12	CHICAGO PROGRESSIVE PARTNERSHIP	contributed_to	$500,000	pas2
2026-03-12	CHICAGO PROGRESSIVE PARTNERSHIP	opposes_independently	$500,000	fec_ies
2026-03-11	MEDICARE FOR ALL	supports_independently	$7,000	fec_ies
2026-03-11	MEDICARE FOR ALL	supports_independently	$18,000	fec_ies
2026-03-11	MEDICARE FOR ALL	contributed_to	$7,000	pas2
2026-03-11	MEDICARE FOR ALL	contributed_to	$18,000	pas2
2026-03-11	CONGRESSIONAL PROGRESSIVE CAUCUS PAC	supports_independently	$18,000	fec_ies
2026-03-11	CONGRESSIONAL PROGRESSIVE CAUCUS PAC	supports_independently	$7,000	fec_ies
2026-03-10	CHICAGO PROGRESSIVE PARTNERSHIP	contributed_to	$13,879	pas2
2026-03-10	CHICAGO PROGRESSIVE PARTNERSHIP	contributed_to	$150,000	pas2
2026-03-10	CHICAGO PROGRESSIVE PARTNERSHIP	opposes_independently	$13,879	fec_ies
2026-03-10	CHICAGO PROGRESSIVE PARTNERSHIP	opposes_independently	$150,000	fec_ies
2026-03-10	CHICAGO PROGRESSIVE PARTNERSHIP	opposes_independently	$13,879	fec_ies
2026-03-10	CHICAGO PROGRESSIVE PARTNERSHIP	supports_independently	$150,000	fec_ies
2026-03-10	JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC	contributed_to	$6,750	pas2
2026-03-09	JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC	contributed_to	$50,000	pas2
2026-03-09	JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC	supports_independently	$50,000	fec_ies
2026-03-03	MUSLIM CIVIC COALITION-ACTIVATE	supports_independently	$181	fec_ies
2026-03-03	MUSLIM CIVIC COALITION-ACTIVATE	supports_independently	$31	fec_ies
2026-03-03	MUSLIM CIVIC COALITION-ACTIVATE	supports_independently	$213	fec_ies
2026-03-02	NATIONAL NURSES UNITED PAC - A FUND FOR A HEALTHY AMERICA	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2026-03-02	MUSLIM CIVIC COALITION-ACTIVATE	supports_independently	$6	fec_ies
2026-03-02	WARREN FOR SENATE, INC.	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-02-27	SUNRISE PAC	contributed_to	$58	pas2
2026-02-25	END CITIZENS UNITED	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-02-25	THE PEOPLE UNITED PAC	contributed_to	$75	pas2
2026-02-07	THE PEOPLE UNITED PAC	contributed_to	$75	pas2
2026-02-06	THE PEOPLE UNITED PAC	contributed_to	$150	pas2
2026-01-27	ROOTED IN COMMUNITY LEADERSHIP PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-12-22	MEDICARE FOR ALL	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-22	CONGRESSIONAL PROGRESSIVE CAUCUS PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-10	A NEW POLICY PAC	contributed_to	$950	pas2
2025-10-07	THE JUSTICE COALITION ACTION PAC	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2

Outbound (2)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	JUNAID FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	FRIENDS OF JUNAID	—		candidate_committees

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