DAVIS, RODNEY L
R · house · bioguide D000619
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- FEC candidate id
H2IL13120- Internal id
f8201a4a-dc96-4861-af62-353089ef0721- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IL-15. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 746,652 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $73,993 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $39,675 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.439 |
| Race | White alone | 90.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 3.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 4.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 2.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 96.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 26.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.1% |
| Household | Family households | 63.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.35 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 27.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $155,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $827 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 81.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 9.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 79.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.2% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $13,868 | $14,579 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $4,006,545 | $4,146,270 | $711 | $0 | $1,459,050 |
| 2020 | $5,011,860 | $4,891,001 | $140,436 | $31,413 | $2,031,253 |
| 2018 | $3,638,923 | $4,016,147 | $19,576 | $79,616 | $1,053,864 |
| 2016 | $2,635,220 | $2,364,757 | $396,800 | $0 | $757,668 |
| 2014 | $3,491,351 | $3,382,441 | $126,337 | $0 | $1,417,697 |
| 2012 | $1,400,451 | $1,383,024 | $17,427 | $59,000 | $729,582 |
Elections
- 2012 general house · IL-15 — running
- 2012 general house · IL-13 — won
- 2014 general house · IL-15 — running
- 2014 general house · IL-13 — won
- 2016 general house · IL-15 — running
- 2016 general house · IL-13 — won
- 2018 general house · IL-13 — won
- 2018 general house · IL-15 — running
- 2020 general house · IL-15 — running
- 2020 general house · IL-13 — won
- 2022 general house · IL-15 — won
Committees
- BARR JOHNSON AND DAVIS VICTORY FUND (BJ&D VICTORY FUND) — joint_fundraising · type H
- DOWN WITH DEBT — joint_fundraising · type H
- ECONOMIC SOLUTIONS VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type N
- PATRIOT DAY I — joint_fundraising · type H
- PATRIOT DAY III 2014 — joint_fundraising · type N
- RODNEY FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
- SCHOCK MAJORITY FUND — joint_fundraising · type N
- WILL TO WIN — joint_fundraising · type H
- YOUNG GUNS 2012 ROUND 2 — joint_fundraising · type N
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $2,680,282 | $3,673,431 | 207 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POL… | support | $950 | Digital Advertising |
| — | NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTI… | support | $1,920 | Administrative consulting |
| — | NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTI… | support | $15,550 | Online digital ad buy & production costs |
| — | ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POL… | support | $1,000 | Digital Advertising |
| — | ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POL… | support | $4,038 | Printed Advertisement |
| — | NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTI… | support | $34,635 | Online video production costs |
| — | ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POL… | support | $1,000 | Facebook Advertisement |
| 2022-06-24 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $72 | Digital ad production (from advance line 21) |
| 2022-06-24 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $12,500 | Digital ad placement |
| 2022-06-24 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $263 | Digital ad production |
| 2022-06-23 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $84 | Digital ad production (from advance line 21) |
| 2022-06-23 | ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POL… | support | $50 | Radio Advertisement |
| 2022-06-22 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION | oppose | $64,550 | IE- Davis- Media Buy |
| 2022-06-22 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $9,668 | Digital ad placement, production |
| 2022-06-22 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $61 | TV ad costs (from advance line 21) |
| 2022-06-22 | ANIMAL WELLNESS ACTION | support | $7,408 | Printing/Postage for Mailing |
| 2022-06-21 | CONSERVATIVE OUTSIDER PAC INC | oppose | $142,978 | TV AD PLACEMENT |
| 2022-06-21 | AMERICAN DREAM FEDERAL ACTION | support | $15,000 | PRODUCTION COST: TV |
| 2022-06-21 | CONSERVATIVE OUTSIDER PAC INC | oppose | $4,738 | TV AD PLACEMENT |
| 2022-06-21 | ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POL… | support | $774 | Radio Advertisement |
| 2022-06-21 | ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POL… | support | $280 | Radio Advertisement |
| 2022-06-21 | ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POL… | support | $525 | Radio Advertisement |
| 2022-06-21 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $114 | Mail production (from advance line 21) |
| 2022-06-21 | CONSERVATIVE OUTSIDER PAC INC | oppose | $45,367 | RADIO ADS |
| 2022-06-21 | CONSERVATIVE OUTSIDER PAC INC | oppose | $2,475 | DOOR HANGERS |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
Outbound (9)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | joint_fundraising_committee_of | DOWN WITH DEBT | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | joint_fundraising_committee_of | BARR JOHNSON AND DAVIS VICTORY FUND (BJ&D VICTORY FUND) | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | joint_fundraising_committee_of | WILL TO WIN | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | joint_fundraising_committee_of | PATRIOT DAY III 2014 | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | joint_fundraising_committee_of | YOUNG GUNS 2012 ROUND 2 | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | joint_fundraising_committee_of | PATRIOT DAY I | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | joint_fundraising_committee_of | SCHOCK MAJORITY FUND | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | joint_fundraising_committee_of | ECONOMIC SOLUTIONS VICTORY FUND | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | principal_candidate_of | RODNEY FOR CONGRESS | — | candidate_committees |