KOOLIDGE, MICHAEL

R · house

FEC candidate id: H2IL14094
Internal id: ccff59cd-56af-452c-9cde-c575cfed24a9
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IL-14. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	763,833
People	Median age	37
Income	Median household income	$95,523
Income	Per-capita income	$42,848
Income	In poverty	9.2%
Income	Unemployed	5.2%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.426
Race	White alone	61.9%
Race	Black alone	9.2%
Race	Asian alone	5.5%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	23.9%
Race	Two or more races	14.3%
Origin	Foreign-born	13.5%
Language	Speaks English only at home	75.9%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	16.6%
Education	High school or higher	60.4%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	34.2%
Education	Advanced degree	12.9%
Household	Family households	71.0%
Household	Avg household size	2.76
Household	Never married (15+)	34.9%
Housing	Median home value	$280,800
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,263
Housing	Single-family detached	71.5%
Housing	Built before 1940	3.3%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.4%
Housing	Vacant units	4.7%
Service	Veterans (18+)	4.8%
Health	With a disability	10.4%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	93.3%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	4.7%
Commute	Drove alone	74.6%
Commute	Public transit	1.3%
Commute	Worked from home	12.9%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$0	$0	$1,415	$10,802	$0
2024	$0	$0	$1,415	$19,552	$0
2022	$210,843	$209,428	$1,415	$19,552	$180,611

Elections

2022 general house · IL-14 — lost_general

Committees

KOOLIDGE FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-06-22	LAHOOD FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2022-06-22	ABRAHAM LINCOLN PAC	24K	$5,000
2022-06-20	JOY PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-06-16	WINRED	24K	$-600
2022-05-11	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF MUTUAL INSURANCE COMPAN…	24K	$600
2022-01-05	WINRED	24K	$-25

Connected on the graph

Inbound (10)

date	from	type	amount	role	source
2022-06-22	LAHOOD FOR CONGRESS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-06-22	ABRAHAM LINCOLN LEADERSHIP POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-06-22	LAHOOD FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000		pas2
2022-06-22	ABRAHAM LINCOLN LEADERSHIP POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2022-06-20	JOY PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-06-20	JOY PAC	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-06-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-600		pas2
2022-05-11	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF MUTUAL INSURANCE COMPANIES PAC	contributed_to	$600		pas2
2022-05-11	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF MUTUAL INSURANCE COMPANIES PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$600	24K	fec_pas2
2022-01-05	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25		pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	KOOLIDGE FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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