SHIMKUS, JOHN M
R Β· house Β· bioguide S000364
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- FEC candidate id
H2IL20042- Internal id
9ea1fb35-c08c-462f-b5c9-3def23d3dc7d- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IL-15. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 746,652 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $73,993 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $39,675 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.439 |
| Race | White alone | 90.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 3.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 4.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 2.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 96.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 26.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.1% |
| Household | Family households | 63.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.35 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 27.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $155,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $827 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 81.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 9.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 79.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.2% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $178 | $65,949 | $463,589 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $311 | $85,696 | $529,359 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $401 | $105,070 | $614,743 | $0 | $0 |
| 2020 | $561,615 | $842,942 | $719,412 | $0 | $77,447 |
| 2018 | $1,974,775 | $1,810,326 | $1,000,739 | $0 | $220,449 |
| 2016 | $3,207,856 | $3,398,402 | $836,290 | $0 | $705,569 |
| 2014 | $1,982,069 | $1,816,163 | $1,026,836 | $0 | $326,303 |
| 2012 | $2,107,579 | $2,384,832 | $860,930 | $0 | $494,572 |
| 2010 | $1,845,128 | $1,852,867 | $1,135,183 | $0 | $496,928 |
| 2008 | $1,333,115 | $1,209,098 | $1,142,862 | $0 | $396,432 |
| 2006 | $1,212,023 | $826,248 | $1,018,745 | $0 | $411,568 |
| 2004 | $1,071,901 | $544,789 | $632,971 | $0 | $528,613 |
| 2002 | $1,848,117 | $2,144,614 | $105,858 | $0 | $644,509 |
| 2000 | $843,987 | $645,920 | $402,354 | $0 | $303,479 |
| 1998 | $874,408 | $677,009 | $204,289 | $0 | $340,353 |
| 1996 | $653,501 | $647,796 | $6,890 | $4,000 | $373,060 |
| 1994 | $4,665 | $6,308 | $1,185 | $198 | $3,145 |
| 1992 | $281,184 | $278,357 | $2,826 | $198 | $120,413 |
Elections
- 1992 general house Β· IL-20 β won
- 1992 general house Β· IL-15 β running
- 1996 general house Β· IL-20 β won
- 1996 general house Β· IL-15 β running
- 1998 general house Β· IL-15 β running
- 1998 general house Β· IL-20 β won
- 2000 general house Β· IL-15 β running
- 2000 general house Β· IL-20 β won
- 2002 general house Β· IL-15 β running
- 2002 general house Β· IL-19 β won
- 2004 general house Β· IL-19 β won
- 2004 general house Β· IL-15 β running
- 2006 general house Β· IL-19 β won
- 2006 general house Β· IL-15 β running
- 2008 general house Β· IL-19 β won
- 2008 general house Β· IL-15 β running
- 2010 general house Β· IL-19 β won
- 2010 general house Β· IL-15 β running
- 2012 general house Β· IL-15 β won
- 2014 general house Β· IL-15 β won
- 2016 general house Β· IL-15 β won
- 2018 general house Β· IL-15 β won
- 2020 general house Β· IL-15 β lost_general
Committees
- GOOD GOVERNMENT 2000 β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- VOLUNTEERS FOR SHIMKUS β principal Β· type H
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-07 | AMGEN INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | 24K | $-3,500 |
| 2022-09-14 | APRIA HEALTHCARE LLC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | 24K | $-500 |
| 2021-10-07 | ARRAY DIGITAL INFRASTRUCTURE, INC POLITICAL ACT⦠| 24K | $-2,000 |
| 2021-07-01 | AO SMITH CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE⦠| 24K | $-2,500 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (4)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-07 | AMGEN INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $-3,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-14 | APRIA HEALTHCARE LLC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $-500 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-07 | ARRAY DIGITAL INFRASTRUCTURE, INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $-2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-07-01 | AO SMITH CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AOSPAC) | contributed_to | $-2,500 | pas2 |
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | GOOD GOVERNMENT 2000 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | VOLUNTEERS FOR SHIMKUS | β | candidate_committees |