BAILEY, MICHAEL EVERETT
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2IN09076- Internal id
60724961-04d9-4b2c-9eef-9790ccacccc1- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IN-09. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 760,136 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $71,567 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $37,127 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.437 |
| Race | White alone | 88.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 5.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 3.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 94.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 27.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.9% |
| Household | Family households | 62.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.39 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $223,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,024 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 71.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 76.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | $44,438 | $9,469 | $0 | $0 | $4,192 |
| 2000 | $245,631 | $245,202 | $428 | $41,817 | $160,772 |
| 1998 | $49,476 | $49,482 | $7 | $8,100 | $41,366 |
| 1996 | $13,339 | $13,353 | $0 | $0 | $13,339 |
| 1994 | $134,365 | $134,525 | $15 | $27,278 | $94,876 |
| 1992 | $175,189 | $175,013 | $175 | $1,908 | $115,222 |
Elections
- 1992 general house Β· IN-9 β lost_general
- 1994 general house Β· IN-9 β lost_general
- 1998 general house Β· IN-9 β lost_general
- 2000 general house Β· IN-9 β lost_general
Committees
- BAILEY FOR LIFE β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | BAILEY FOR LIFE | β | candidate_committees |