HALBLEIB, CONOR
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2KY05177- Internal id
b1251a00-8022-439b-a54f-1e5f74763bdc- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), KY-05. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 742,663 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $45,798 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $25,853 |
| Income | In poverty | 24.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.487 |
| Race | White alone | 94.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 1.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 3.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 1.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 98.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 0.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 54.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 16.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 7.5% |
| Household | Family households | 66.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.43 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 25.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $115,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $744 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 62.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 15.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 25.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 85.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 11.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 77.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 7.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $18,702 | $19,103 | $623 | $1,732 | $17,470 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· KY-5 β lost_general
Committees
- CONOR HALBLEIB FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Connected on the graph
Inbound (6)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-15 | UNITED STEEL, PAPER AND FORESTRY, RUBBER, MANUFACTURING, ENERGY, ALLIED INDUSTRIAL AND SER | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-07 | AFL-CIO | contributed_to | $44 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-07 | AFL-CIO | contributed_to | $17 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-05 | AFL-CIO | contributed_to | $13 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-04 | AFL-CIO | contributed_to | $8 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-04 | AFL-CIO | contributed_to | $8 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | CONOR HALBLEIB FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |