KENNEDY, JOSEPH P III
D Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
H2MA04073- Internal id
1a7427c7-d998-4910-8282-e886aeb95354- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MA-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 787,020 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $116,055 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $64,011 |
| Income | In poverty | 7.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.492 |
| Race | White alone | 77.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 6.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 6.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 15.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 79.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 4.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 71.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 49.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 24.8% |
| Household | Family households | 67.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.52 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $584,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,622 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 55.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 63.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 4.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 19.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $336,356 | $349,349 | $0 | $0 | $1,000 |
| 2020 | $11,400,834 | $15,561,023 | $12,992 | $250,000 | $8,544,093 |
| 2018 | $4,496,056 | $3,074,453 | $4,173,181 | $0 | $3,270,825 |
| 2016 | $3,149,238 | $1,797,668 | $2,751,578 | $0 | $2,018,598 |
| 2014 | $2,694,291 | $1,629,037 | $1,400,009 | $0 | $2,154,573 |
| 2012 | $4,204,050 | $3,869,295 | $334,754 | $0 | $3,717,774 |
Elections
- 2012 general house Β· MA-4 β lost_general
- 2014 general house Β· MA-4 β running
- 2016 general house Β· MA-4 β running
- 2018 general house Β· MA-4 β running
- 2020 general senate Β· MA-S β lost_general
- 2020 general senate Β· MA-S β lost_general
- 2020 general senate Β· MA-S β lost_general
- 2020 general senate Β· MA-S β lost_general
- 2020 general senate Β· MA-S β running
Committees
- AUSTIN INNOVATION 2015 β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- JOE KENNEDY VICTORY FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- KENNEDY FOR MASSACHUSETTS β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (3)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | JOE KENNEDY VICTORY FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | AUSTIN INNOVATION 2015 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | KENNEDY FOR MASSACHUSETTS | β | candidate_committees |