LORINSER, ROBERT JAMES
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2MI01142- Internal id
ab5ecc52-9fcb-4a3a-afa7-f7c8f36a8930- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MI-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 783,000 |
| People | Median age | 47 |
| Income | Median household income | $64,546 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $37,883 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.453 |
| Race | White alone | 89.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 2.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 5.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 1.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 97.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 59.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 28.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.7% |
| Household | Family households | 61.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.21 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 27.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $196,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $873 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 81.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 31.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 17.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 87.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 9.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 75.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $371,078 | $379,844 | $2,277 | $27,000 | $364,471 |
| 2022 | $588,500 | $578,257 | $11,043 | $33,500 | $539,750 |
Elections
Committees
- FRIENDS OF DR BOB β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-04 | UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION P⦠| 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-11-01 | GRAND TRAVERSE COUNTY DEMOCRATIC COMMITTEE | 24K | $500 |
| 2022-10-27 | AMERICAN ACADEMY OF FAMILY PHYSICIANS POLITICAL⦠| 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-10-19 | MICHIGAN STATE AFL-CIO | 24F | $14 |
| 2022-09-23 | SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION | 24E | $10 |
| 2022-08-01 | GRAND TRAVERSE COUNTY DEMOCRATIC COMMITTEE | 24K | $500 |
| 2022-03-24 | AMERICAN ACADEMY OF FAMILY PHYSICIANS POLITICAL⦠| 24K | $2,500 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (7)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-04 | UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION PROGRAM) 'INT'L UNION UNITED AUTOMOBILE AEROSPACE & AGRICULTURAL IMPLEMENT WORKERS OF AMERICA UAW | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-01 | GRAND TRAVERSE COUNTY DEMOCRATIC COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-27 | AMERICAN ACADEMY OF FAMILY PHYSICIANS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (FAMMEDPAC) | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-19 | MICHIGAN STATE AFL-CIO | contributed_to | $14 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-23 | SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION | contributed_to | $10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-01 | GRAND TRAVERSE COUNTY DEMOCRATIC COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-24 | AMERICAN ACADEMY OF FAMILY PHYSICIANS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (FAMMEDPAC) | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | FRIENDS OF DR BOB | β | candidate_committees |