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GIBBS, JOHN

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2MI03197
Internal id
8c90790b-7ef3-49d4-8f6e-6e2f9a638c80
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MI-03. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation779,539
PeopleMedian age36
IncomeMedian household income$78,245
IncomePer-capita income$41,000
IncomeIn poverty11.7%
IncomeUnemployed4.5%
IncomeGini inequality index0.454
RaceWhite alone72.4%
RaceBlack alone11.0%
RaceAsian alone2.9%
RaceHispanic or Latino10.8%
RaceTwo or more races10.3%
OriginForeign-born7.9%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home88.3%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home6.6%
EducationHigh school or higher63.3%
EducationBachelor's or higher38.6%
EducationAdvanced degree13.7%
HouseholdFamily households63.7%
HouseholdAvg household size2.51
HouseholdNever married (15+)36.0%
HousingMedian home value$276,800
HousingMedian gross rent$1,214
HousingSingle-family detached64.7%
HousingBuilt before 19406.4%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.9%
HousingVacant units5.6%
ServiceVeterans (18+)4.9%
HealthWith a disability11.6%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband91.8%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet5.8%
CommuteDrove alone74.1%
CommutePublic transit1.4%
CommuteWorked from home12.9%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2024$-220$1,067$0$0$-220
2022$1,686,030$1,684,742$1,288$18,000$1,052,289

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2022$810,818$5,455,376114

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
β€”MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTYsupport$43,809Mail/Posatge
β€”MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTYsupport$32,057Mail/Postage
β€”MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTYsupport$32,057MAIL/POSTAGE
β€”MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTYsupport$32,057MAIL/POSATGE
β€”MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTYsupport$1,606Palm Card Printing
β€”HMPoppose$6,000Digital Production - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$82,224Television Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$6,000Digital Production - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$13,882Media Production - Estimate
β€”LCV VICTORY FUNDoppose$10,000Polling
β€”MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTYsupport$32,057MAIL/POSTAGE
β€”MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTYsupport$43,809MAIL/POSTAGE
β€”HMPoppose$5,003Media Production - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$224,400Television Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$6,000Digital Production - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$51,500Digital Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$51,500Digital Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$457,771Television Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$51,500Digital Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$51,500Digital Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$30,823Media Production - Estimate
β€”LCV VICTORY FUNDoppose$161Research Services
β€”HMPoppose$1,378Media Production - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$6,000Digital Production - Estimate
β€”MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTYsupport$32,057Mail/Posatge

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
β€”#WALKAWAY CAMPAIGN PAC24E$25
β€”LCV VICTORY FUND24A$10,000
β€”MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTY24E$43,809
β€”LCV VICTORY FUND24A$160
β€”MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTY24E$32,057
β€”MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTY24E$1,605
β€”MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTY24E$43,809
2022-12-28WINRED24K$-10
2022-12-21WINRED24K$0
2022-12-21WINRED24K$-25
2022-12-20WINRED24K$-50
2022-12-20WINRED24K$-15
2022-12-20WINRED24K$-2
2022-12-20WINRED24K$-100
2022-12-20WINRED24K$-50
2022-12-20WINRED24K$-50
2022-12-20WINRED24K$-100
2022-12-19WINRED24K$0
2022-12-16WINRED24K$-1
2022-12-16WINRED24K$-1
2022-12-16WINRED24K$-1
2022-12-16WINRED24K$-2
2022-12-16WINRED24K$-2
2022-12-15WINRED24K$-25
2022-12-13WINRED24K$-20

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
β€”LCV VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$10,000pas2
β€”LCV VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$160pas2
β€”#WALKAWAY CAMPAIGN PACcontributed_to$25pas2
β€”MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTYcontributed_to$43,809pas2
β€”MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTYcontributed_to$43,809pas2
β€”MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTYcontributed_to$32,057pas2
β€”MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTYcontributed_to$1,605pas2
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONopposes_independently$7,143fec_ies
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONopposes_independently$820fec_ies
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONopposes_independently$759fec_ies
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONopposes_independently$902fec_ies
β€”NEW JOURNEY PAC, INC.supports_independently$500fec_ies
β€”NEW JOURNEY PAC, INC.supports_independently$500fec_ies
β€”MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTYsupports_independently$32,057fec_ies
β€”MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTYsupports_independently$1,606fec_ies
β€”MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTYsupports_independently$43,809fec_ies
β€”MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTYsupports_independently$43,809fec_ies
β€”MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTYsupports_independently$32,057fec_ies
β€”MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTYsupports_independently$43,809fec_ies
β€”MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTYsupports_independently$32,057fec_ies
β€”MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTYsupports_independently$32,057fec_ies
β€”MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTYsupports_independently$43,809fec_ies
β€”MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTYsupports_independently$32,057fec_ies
β€”MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTYsupports_independently$32,057fec_ies
β€”MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTYsupports_independently$32,057fec_ies
β€”LCV VICTORY FUNDopposes_independently$10,000fec_ies
β€”LCV VICTORY FUNDopposes_independently$161fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$224,400fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$6,000fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$13,882fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$51,500fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$1,378fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$51,500fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$51,500fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$5,003fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$6,000fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$82,224fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$30,823fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$6,000fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$51,500fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$457,771fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$6,000fec_ies
2022-12-28WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-12-21WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-21WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-20WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2022-12-20WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2022-12-20WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-12-20WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-12-20WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-12-20WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-12-20WINREDcontributed_to$-2pas2
2022-12-19WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-16WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-12-16WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-12-16WINREDcontributed_to$-2pas2
2022-12-16WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-12-16WINREDcontributed_to$-2pas2
2022-12-15WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-13WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-12-13WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-12-10WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-10WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-09WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2022-12-07WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-06WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-12-06WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-12-06WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-06WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-06WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-02WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-02WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-30WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-11-30WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-11-30WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-11-30WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-11-28WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-28WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-28WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-23WINREDcontributed_to$-2pas2
2022-11-23WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-11-23WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-20WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-11-18LCV VICTORY FUNDcontributed_to$160pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$-250pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-14WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2022-11-13WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofJOHN GIBBS FOR CONGRESS, INC.β€”candidate_committees

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