WENKE, LORENCE RAYMOND MR
L Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2MI04294- Internal id
29989151-ac09-495c-94ee-837511a1c35e- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MI-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 778,930 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $74,722 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $39,538 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.455 |
| Race | White alone | 77.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 8.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 9.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 91.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 5.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 33.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.3% |
| Household | Family households | 64.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.48 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $248,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,075 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 77.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.6% |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· MI-4 β lost_general
Committees
- WENKE FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $0 | $3,965 | 3 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-03 | MICHIGAN CONSERVATIVE ACTION | oppose | $1,400 | GOTV TEXT MESSAGES |
| 2022-11-02 | MICHIGAN CONSERVATIVE ACTION | oppose | $1,725 | GOTV VOTER CALLS |
| 2022-10-30 | MICHIGAN CONSERVATIVE ACTION | oppose | $840 | TEXT MESSAGES |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (3)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-03 | MICHIGAN CONSERVATIVE ACTION | opposes_independently | $1,400 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-11-02 | MICHIGAN CONSERVATIVE ACTION | opposes_independently | $1,725 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-30 | MICHIGAN CONSERVATIVE ACTION | opposes_independently | $840 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | WENKE FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |