DAILEY, LEAH R.
L Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2MI07149- Internal id
78774814-a904-4515-9e4f-1b36e77e33d5- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MI-07. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 778,561 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $80,357 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $43,559 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.7% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.448 |
| Race | White alone | 81.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 5.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 5.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 92.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 37.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.5% |
| Household | Family households | 62.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.41 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $256,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,106 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.1% |
Elections
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $62,788 | $0 | 6 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-30 | SAVE WESTERN CULTURE | support | $4,500 | Digital Advertisng |
| 2024-10-30 | SAVE WESTERN CULTURE | support | $2,958 | Digital Advertising |
| 2024-10-29 | SAVE WESTERN CULTURE | support | $16,067 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-10-24 | SAVE WESTERN CULTURE | support | $18,697 | Direct Mail Advertising |
| 2024-10-24 | SAVE WESTERN CULTURE | support | $4,500 | Digital Advertising |
| 2024-10-17 | SAVE WESTERN CULTURE | support | $16,067 | Direct Mail Advertising |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (6)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-30 | SAVE WESTERN CULTURE | supports_independently | $4,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-30 | SAVE WESTERN CULTURE | supports_independently | $2,958 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-29 | SAVE WESTERN CULTURE | supports_independently | $16,067 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-24 | SAVE WESTERN CULTURE | supports_independently | $18,697 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-24 | SAVE WESTERN CULTURE | supports_independently | $4,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-17 | SAVE WESTERN CULTURE | supports_independently | $16,067 | fec_ies |