BITTERMAN, JOSH

R · house

FEC candidate id: H2MI11257
Internal id: 34f8de64-cce3-4d9e-bc71-6e55e02df94c
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MI-11. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	775,896
People	Median age	41
Income	Median household income	$93,271
Income	Per-capita income	$56,888
Income	In poverty	8.8%
Income	Unemployed	5.0%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.479
Race	White alone	68.1%
Race	Black alone	12.8%
Race	Asian alone	9.0%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	5.6%
Race	Two or more races	8.0%
Origin	Foreign-born	14.4%
Language	Speaks English only at home	82.4%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	3.4%
Education	High school or higher	68.7%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	50.8%
Education	Advanced degree	22.2%
Household	Family households	58.6%
Household	Avg household size	2.32
Household	Never married (15+)	34.8%
Housing	Median home value	$327,400
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,339
Housing	Single-family detached	68.0%
Housing	Built before 1940	6.9%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.4%
Housing	Vacant units	5.7%
Service	Veterans (18+)	4.3%
Health	With a disability	11.9%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	93.8%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	4.5%
Commute	Drove alone	71.0%
Commute	Public transit	0.3%
Commute	Worked from home	20.2%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0
2022	$120,457	$120,457	$0	$6,350	$40,457

Elections

2022 general house · MI-11 — lost_general

Committees

JOSH BITTERMAN FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-06-23	WINRED	24K	$-250
2022-06-03	WINRED	24K	$-250
2022-04-25	WINRED	24K	$-3
2022-04-25	WINRED	24K	$-100
2022-04-25	WINRED	24K	$-500
2022-04-25	WINRED	24K	$-100
2022-04-25	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-04-25	WINRED	24K	$-150
2022-04-25	WINRED	24K	$-250
2022-04-25	WINRED	24K	$-100
2022-04-25	WINRED	24K	$-100
2022-04-25	WINRED	24K	$-500
2022-04-25	WINRED	24K	$-200
2022-04-25	WINRED	24K	$-500
2022-04-25	WINRED	24K	$-100
2022-04-25	WINRED	24K	$-500
2022-04-25	WINRED	24K	$-1,000
2022-04-25	WINRED	24K	$-500
2022-04-25	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-04-25	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-04-25	WINRED	24K	$-2,000
2022-04-25	WINRED	24K	$-100
2022-04-25	WINRED	24K	$-100
2022-04-25	WINRED	24K	$-250
2022-04-25	WINRED	24K	$-500

Connected on the graph

Inbound (26)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-06-23	WINRED	contributed_to	$-250	pas2
2022-06-03	WINRED	contributed_to	$-250	pas2
2022-04-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-150	pas2
2022-04-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-200	pas2
2022-04-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-500	pas2
2022-04-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,000	pas2
2022-04-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-04-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-04-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-04-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-500	pas2
2022-04-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-250	pas2
2022-04-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-500	pas2
2022-04-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-04-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-04-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-04-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-250	pas2
2022-04-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-04-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-500	pas2
2022-04-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-500	pas2
2022-04-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-04-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-04-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-04-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-04-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-04-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-500	pas2
2022-04-06	WINRED	contributed_to	$-30	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	JOSH BITTERMAN FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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