WINFREY, JANICE MARIE

D · house

FEC candidate id: H2MI12172
Internal id: 637fdc8a-27a1-49cf-ab88-6f5387f8dd25
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MI-12. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	761,609
People	Median age	38
Income	Median household income	$59,614
Income	Per-capita income	$33,223
Income	In poverty	20.5%
Income	Unemployed	8.8%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.481
Race	White alone	47.0%
Race	Black alone	43.8%
Race	Asian alone	1.8%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	3.3%
Race	Two or more races	6.1%
Origin	Foreign-born	10.6%
Language	Speaks English only at home	82.9%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	1.9%
Education	High school or higher	55.7%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	27.4%
Education	Advanced degree	10.7%
Household	Family households	59.5%
Household	Avg household size	2.51
Household	Never married (15+)	43.2%
Housing	Median home value	$184,000
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,200
Housing	Single-family detached	74.7%
Housing	Built before 1940	15.9%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.2%
Housing	Vacant units	9.9%
Service	Veterans (18+)	4.6%
Health	With a disability	16.1%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	91.4%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	6.6%
Commute	Drove alone	73.4%
Commute	Public transit	1.6%
Commute	Worked from home	13.5%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0
2022	$377,748	$414,590	$0	$0	$369,224

Elections

2022 general house · MI-12 — lost_general

Committees

JANICE WINFREY FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$1,603,410	$0	12

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	support	$50,000	Video Production (Estimate)
—	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	support	$25,000	Video Production (Estimate)
—	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	support	$25,000	Video Production (Estimate)
—	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	support	$50,000	Video Production (Estimate)
—	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	support	$50,000	Video Production (Estimate)
2022-07-29	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	support	$203,500	TV Ad Buy
2022-07-21	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	support	$199,985	TV Ad Buy
2022-07-21	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	support	$199,985	TV Ad Buy
2022-07-21	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	support	$199,985	TV Ad Buy
2022-07-15	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	support	$199,985	TV Ad Buy
2022-07-15	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	support	$199,985	TV Ad Buy
2022-07-15	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	support	$199,985	TV Ad Buy

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-09-20	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	24K	$20
2022-09-20	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	24K	$25
2022-09-20	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	24K	$3
2022-09-17	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	24K	$18
2022-09-14	ENGINEERS POLITICAL EDUCATION COMMITTEE (EPEC)/…	24K	$-5,000
2022-07-29	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	24E	$203,500
2022-07-28	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	24E	$25,000
2022-07-28	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	24E	$50,000
2022-07-21	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	24E	$199,985
2022-07-15	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	24E	$199,985
2022-05-03	ENGINEERS POLITICAL EDUCATION COMMITTEE (EPEC)/…	24K	$5,000
2022-04-30	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	24K	$10
2022-04-30	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	24K	$25
2022-04-30	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	24K	$8
2022-04-29	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	24K	$25
2022-04-27	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	24K	$27
2022-04-26	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	24K	$5
2022-04-26	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	24K	$100
2022-04-26	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	24K	$100
2022-04-26	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	24K	$5
2022-04-25	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	24K	$3
2022-04-25	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	24K	$25
2022-04-24	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	24K	$20
2022-04-24	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	24K	$10
2022-04-23	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	24K	$5

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	supports_independently	$50,000	fec_ies
—	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	supports_independently	$50,000	fec_ies
—	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	supports_independently	$25,000	fec_ies
—	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	supports_independently	$50,000	fec_ies
—	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	supports_independently	$25,000	fec_ies
2022-09-20	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-09-20	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$20	pas2
2022-09-20	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$3	pas2
2022-09-17	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$18	pas2
2022-09-14	ENGINEERS POLITICAL EDUCATION COMMITTEE (EPEC)/INTERNATIONAL UNION OF OPERATING ENGINEERS	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2022-07-29	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	contributed_to	$203,500	pas2
2022-07-29	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	supports_independently	$203,500	fec_ies
2022-07-28	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	contributed_to	$25,000	pas2
2022-07-28	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	contributed_to	$50,000	pas2
2022-07-21	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	supports_independently	$199,985	fec_ies
2022-07-21	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	supports_independently	$199,985	fec_ies
2022-07-21	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	supports_independently	$199,985	fec_ies
2022-07-21	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	contributed_to	$199,985	pas2
2022-07-15	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	supports_independently	$199,985	fec_ies
2022-07-15	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	supports_independently	$199,985	fec_ies
2022-07-15	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	supports_independently	$199,985	fec_ies
2022-07-15	URBAN EMPOWERMENT ACTION PAC, INC.	contributed_to	$199,985	pas2
2022-05-03	ENGINEERS POLITICAL EDUCATION COMMITTEE (EPEC)/INTERNATIONAL UNION OF OPERATING ENGINEERS	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-04-30	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-30	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$10	pas2
2022-04-30	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$8	pas2
2022-04-29	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-27	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$27	pas2
2022-04-26	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$100	pas2
2022-04-26	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$5	pas2
2022-04-26	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$5	pas2
2022-04-26	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$100	pas2
2022-04-25	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$3	pas2
2022-04-25	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-24	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$20	pas2
2022-04-24	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$10	pas2
2022-04-23	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$5	pas2
2022-04-23	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$20	pas2
2022-04-21	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$50	pas2
2022-04-20	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-20	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-20	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$20	pas2
2022-04-20	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$50	pas2
2022-04-19	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$20	pas2
2022-04-19	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-19	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$1	pas2
2022-04-19	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$250	pas2
2022-04-19	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$100	pas2
2022-04-19	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-19	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-19	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$22	pas2
2022-04-19	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-19	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$27	pas2
2022-04-19	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-19	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$10	pas2
2022-04-17	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-04-17	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-16	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$100	pas2
2022-04-16	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$100	pas2
2022-04-14	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$10	pas2
2022-04-14	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$36	pas2
2022-04-13	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$100	pas2
2022-04-11	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-11	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-11	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$10	pas2
2022-04-10	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-09	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$150	pas2
2022-04-09	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$50	pas2
2022-04-09	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$36	pas2
2022-04-09	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-08	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$50	pas2
2022-04-08	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-08	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-08	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$118	pas2
2022-04-08	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$100	pas2
2022-04-08	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-07	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-07	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$15	pas2
2022-04-07	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$5	pas2
2022-04-07	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$15	pas2
2022-04-07	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$50	pas2
2022-04-07	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$118	pas2
2022-04-07	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$50	pas2
2022-04-07	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$50	pas2
2022-04-07	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$50	pas2
2022-04-07	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$250	pas2
2022-04-07	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$50	pas2
2022-04-07	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-07	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$50	pas2
2022-04-07	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-07	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$100	pas2
2022-04-07	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$50	pas2
2022-04-07	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-04-07	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-07	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-07	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$5	pas2
2022-04-07	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-07	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$50	pas2
2022-04-07	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-04-07	PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	JANICE WINFREY FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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