HOLLIER, ADAM
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2MI13246- Internal id
e734ee2b-188d-4c6a-b7cb-2bf752d013a3- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MI-13. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 770,105 |
| People | Median age | 36 |
| Income | Median household income | $50,833 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $30,834 |
| Income | In poverty | 25.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 10.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.507 |
| Race | White alone | 38.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 44.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 10.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 84.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 7.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 54.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 22.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 8.8% |
| Household | Family households | 55.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.45 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 47.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $139,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,061 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 64.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 15.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 17.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 17.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 86.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 9.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 69.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $296,148 | $494,321 | $0 | $0 | $287,648 |
| 2024 | $900,703 | $718,691 | $198,173 | $0 | $839,150 |
| 2022 | $1,226,165 | $1,210,004 | $16,161 | $0 | $1,084,766 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· MI-13 β lost_general
- 2024 general house Β· MI-13 β lost_general
- 2026 general house Β· MI-13 β running
Committees
- ADAM HOLLIER FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $4,309,841 | $0 | 27 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $134,250 | Direct Mail |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $13,211 | Media Production |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $44,875 | Media Placement |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $54,888 | Media Placement |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $81,180 | Direct Mail |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $25,480 | Media Production/Placement |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $784,920 | Media Placement |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $89,989 | Media Production/Placement |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $80,000 | Media Placement |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $805,958 | Media Placement |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $2,668 | Media Production |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $45,750 | Direct Mail |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $50,000 | Media Placement |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $457,399 | Media Placement |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $1,635 | β |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $23,500 | Media Production/Placement |
| β | UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP') | support | $44,150 | GOTV Phone Calls |
| 2022-07-29 | PROTECT OUR FUTURE PAC | support | $100,000 | Ad Buy - TV |
| 2022-07-27 | DMFI PAC | support | $500 | Digital Advertising Production |
| 2022-07-27 | DMFI PAC | support | $2,100 | Digital Advertising Buy |
| 2022-07-26 | WEB3 FORWARD | support | $11,850 | IE-Hollier-Media Production |
| 2022-07-26 | DMFI PAC | support | $88,540 | Digital Advertising Buy |
| 2022-07-26 | DMFI PAC | support | $10,000 | Digital Advertising Production |
| 2022-07-22 | PROTECT OUR FUTURE PAC | support | $200,000 | Ad Buy - TV |
| 2022-07-21 | WEB3 FORWARD | support | $400,033 | IE-Hollier-Media Buy |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | ADAM HOLLIER FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |