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ABRAHAMSON, BRIAN

OTHER Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2MN01371
Internal id
97695292-5c21-4603-ad6f-f8be3bfdc384
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MN-01. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation715,713
PeopleMedian age39
IncomeMedian household income$79,637
IncomePer-capita income$42,768
IncomeIn poverty10.1%
IncomeUnemployed3.5%
IncomeGini inequality index0.447
RaceWhite alone83.7%
RaceBlack alone4.0%
RaceAsian alone2.9%
RaceHispanic or Latino7.6%
RaceTwo or more races6.0%
OriginForeign-born6.7%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home90.0%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home4.8%
EducationHigh school or higher60.3%
EducationBachelor's or higher32.0%
EducationAdvanced degree11.4%
HouseholdFamily households62.2%
HouseholdAvg household size2.39
HouseholdNever married (15+)32.4%
HousingMedian home value$251,500
HousingMedian gross rent$1,032
HousingSingle-family detached72.1%
HousingBuilt before 19404.8%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.0%
HousingVacant units7.2%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.3%
HealthWith a disability11.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband89.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet7.2%
CommuteDrove alone74.0%
CommutePublic transit1.2%
CommuteWorked from home10.9%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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