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SAMUELS, DON MR.

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2MN05208
Internal id
8000bbf0-ee2f-4c2e-8086-10b9ae61268c
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MN-05. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation707,022
PeopleMedian age35
IncomeMedian household income$83,858
IncomePer-capita income$52,019
IncomeIn poverty13.5%
IncomeUnemployed5.5%
IncomeGini inequality index0.480
RaceWhite alone61.4%
RaceBlack alone17.4%
RaceAsian alone5.4%
RaceHispanic or Latino10.6%
RaceTwo or more races9.9%
OriginForeign-born14.0%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home79.9%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home7.7%
EducationHigh school or higher67.7%
EducationBachelor's or higher51.1%
EducationAdvanced degree19.3%
HouseholdFamily households47.0%
HouseholdAvg household size2.20
HouseholdNever married (15+)47.0%
HousingMedian home value$348,600
HousingMedian gross rent$1,398
HousingSingle-family detached46.7%
HousingBuilt before 19407.1%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)3.4%
HousingVacant units6.6%
ServiceVeterans (18+)4.0%
HealthWith a disability11.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband91.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet4.9%
CommuteDrove alone57.1%
CommutePublic transit5.0%
CommuteWorked from home24.3%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$0$19,964$0$0$0
2024$1,742,908$1,775,600$19,964$0$1,726,390
2022$1,431,783$1,379,127$52,656$0$1,421,783

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2024$58,936$07
2022$745,000$09

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
2024-08-13WAKE UP ENTERPRISES INCsupport$230Mobile billboard advertising
2024-08-12MAKE A DIFFERENCE MNsupport$10,750Digital Advertising and Texting
2024-08-12WAKE UP ENTERPRISES INCsupport$230Mobile billboard advertising
2024-08-11WAKE UP ENTERPRISES INCsupport$230Mobile billboard advertising
2024-08-08MAKE A DIFFERENCE MNsupport$17,641Data, Production, Texting, and Digital Ad Placements
2024-08-05MAKE A DIFFERENCE MNsupport$14,854Postage, Printing and Mail Production
2024-08-02MAKE A DIFFERENCE MNsupport$15,000Postage, Printing and Mail Production
2022-08-05MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05support$345,000Media
2022-08-05MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05support$75,000Media
2022-08-03MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05support$85,000Media
2022-08-01MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05support$75,000Media
2022-08-01MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05support$75,000Media
2022-08-01MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05support$0Media
2022-07-27MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05support$45,000Digital Ads
2022-07-27MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05support$45,000Digital Ads
2022-07-27MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05support$0Digital Ads

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-08-08MARYLAND ASSOCIATION FOR CONCERNED CITIZENS POL…24K$5,000
2022-08-04MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 0524E$25
2022-08-04LOUISIANIANS FOR AMERICAN SECURITY POLITICAL AC…24K$2,500
2022-08-04MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 0524E$345,000
2022-08-03MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 0524E$55
2022-08-03MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 0524E$75,000
2022-08-02MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 0524E$40
2022-08-02MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 0524E$85,000
2022-08-01MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 0524E$30
2022-08-01MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 0524E$75,000
2022-07-28MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 0524E$100
2022-07-27MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 0524E$0
2022-07-27MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 0524E$25
2022-07-27MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 0524E$15
2022-07-27MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 0524E$45,000
2022-07-26UNITED STEELWORKERS POLITICAL ACTION FUND24K$5,000
2022-07-26MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 0524E$15
2022-06-16CARPENTERS LEGISLATIVE IMPROVEMENT COMMITTEE UN…24K$5,000
2022-04-28INTERNATIONAL UNION OF OPERATING ENGINEERS LOCA…24K$5,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (35)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2024-08-13WAKE UP ENTERPRISES INCsupports_independently$230fec_ies
2024-08-12MAKE A DIFFERENCE MNsupports_independently$10,750fec_ies
2024-08-12WAKE UP ENTERPRISES INCsupports_independently$230fec_ies
2024-08-11WAKE UP ENTERPRISES INCsupports_independently$230fec_ies
2024-08-08MAKE A DIFFERENCE MNsupports_independently$17,641fec_ies
2024-08-05MAKE A DIFFERENCE MNsupports_independently$14,854fec_ies
2024-08-02MAKE A DIFFERENCE MNsupports_independently$15,000fec_ies
2022-08-08MARYLAND ASSOCIATION FOR CONCERNED CITIZENS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-08-05MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05supports_independently$75,000fec_ies
2022-08-05MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05supports_independently$345,000fec_ies
2022-08-04MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05contributed_to$345,000pas2
2022-08-04MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05contributed_to$25pas2
2022-08-04LOUISIANIANS FOR AMERICAN SECURITY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2022-08-03MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05contributed_to$75,000pas2
2022-08-03MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05supports_independently$85,000fec_ies
2022-08-03MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05contributed_to$55pas2
2022-08-02MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05contributed_to$40pas2
2022-08-02MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05contributed_to$85,000pas2
2022-08-01MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05contributed_to$30pas2
2022-08-01MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05supports_independently$75,000fec_ies
2022-08-01MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05supports_independently$0fec_ies
2022-08-01MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05supports_independently$75,000fec_ies
2022-08-01MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05contributed_to$75,000pas2
2022-07-28MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05contributed_to$100pas2
2022-07-27MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05contributed_to$25pas2
2022-07-27MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05supports_independently$0fec_ies
2022-07-27MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05supports_independently$45,000fec_ies
2022-07-27MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05supports_independently$45,000fec_ies
2022-07-27MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05contributed_to$15pas2
2022-07-27MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05contributed_to$45,000pas2
2022-07-27MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05contributed_to$0pas2
2022-07-26UNITED STEELWORKERS POLITICAL ACTION FUNDcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-07-26MAKE A DIFFERENCE MN 05contributed_to$15pas2
2022-06-16CARPENTERS LEGISLATIVE IMPROVEMENT COMMITTEE UNITED BROTHERHOOD OF CARPENTERS AND JOINERScontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-04-28INTERNATIONAL UNION OF OPERATING ENGINEERS LOCAL 49 PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofNEIGHBORS FOR SAMUELSβ€”candidate_committees

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