BRATTIN, RICHARD RAY JR.
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2MO04199- Internal id
e5c7ba53-cfeb-4a49-a860-af47d53d9c93- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MO-05. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 772,256 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $67,634 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $39,381 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.458 |
| Race | White alone | 61.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 22.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 11.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 88.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 7.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 34.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.9% |
| Household | Family households | 55.1% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.29 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 37.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $226,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,197 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $113,972 | $2,467 | $111,505 | $0 | $104,972 |
| 2022 | $367,572 | $367,572 | $0 | $0 | $323,544 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· MO-5 β running
- 2022 general house Β· MO-4 β lost_general
- 2026 general house Β· MO-5 β running
Committees
- RICK BRATTIN FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- RICK BRATTIN FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $634,931 | $768,567 | 23 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07-30 | CONSERVATIVE OUTSIDER PAC INC | support | $6,472 | TEXT MESSAGING |
| 2022-07-28 | MISSOURI RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND | support | $2,412 | Graphic and text messaging |
| 2022-07-28 | MISSOURI RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND | support | $2,477 | Graphic and text messaging |
| 2022-07-28 | MISSOURI RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND | support | $2,477 | Graphic and text messaging |
| 2022-07-28 | CONSERVATIVE OUTSIDER PAC INC | support | $7,350 | TEXT MESSAGING |
| 2022-07-25 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | support | $230 | TV ad production (from advance line 21) |
| 2022-07-24 | MISSOURIANS FOR TRUTH PAC | oppose | $16,809 | IN KIND - DIRECT MAIL PIECE |
| 2022-07-22 | MISSOURIANS FOR TRUTH PAC | oppose | $12,500 | IN-KIND - DIRECT MAIL PRINTING AND POSTAGE |
| 2022-07-22 | CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC | oppose | $13,150 | PRODUCTION COST: TV AD |
| 2022-07-22 | CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC | oppose | $295,920 | PLACED MEDIA: TV |
| 2022-07-22 | MISSOURIANS FOR TRUTH PAC | oppose | $4,309 | DIRECT MAIL DESIGN AND POSTAGE |
| 2022-07-22 | MISSOURIANS FOR TRUTH PAC | oppose | $12,500 | IN-KIND DIRECT MAIL PRINTING AND POSTAGE |
| 2022-07-22 | MISSOURIANS FOR TRUTH PAC | oppose | $4,309 | DIRECT MAIL DESIGN AND POSTAGE |
| 2022-07-20 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | support | $8,851 | TV ad production |
| 2022-07-18 | CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC | oppose | $100,000 | DIGITAL ADVERTISING |
| 2022-07-14 | CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC | oppose | $13,150 | PRODUCTION COST: TV AD |
| 2022-07-14 | CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC | oppose | $295,920 | PLACED MEDIA: TV |
| 2022-07-13 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | support | $230 | TV ad production (from advance line 21) |
| 2022-07-13 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | support | $101 | Radio ad production (from advance line 21) |
| 2022-07-11 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | support | $576,424 | TV ad placement |
| 2022-07-11 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | support | $17,791 | Radio ad placement |
| 2022-07-11 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | support | $8,238 | TV ad production |
| 2022-07-11 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | support | $1,878 | Radio ad production |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Connected on the graph
Inbound (50)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | TIGER PAC | contributed_to | $3,500 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-25 | EVER RELENTLESS IN CONSERVATISM | contributed_to | $3,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-02 | CONSERVATIVE OUTSIDER PAC | contributed_to | $5,655 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-30 | CONSERVATIVE OUTSIDER PAC | supports_independently | $6,472 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-07-30 | CONSERVATIVE OUTSIDER PAC | contributed_to | $6,472 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-28 | MISSOURI RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $2,477 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-07-28 | MISSOURI RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND | contributed_to | $2,412 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-28 | CONSERVATIVE OUTSIDER PAC | contributed_to | $7,350 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-28 | MISSOURI RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $2,412 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-07-28 | CONSERVATIVE OUTSIDER PAC | supports_independently | $7,350 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-07-28 | MISSOURI RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $2,477 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-07-27 | AMERICAN ASSOCIATION FOR JUSTICE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AAJ PAC) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-25 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | contributed_to | $230 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-25 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | supports_independently | $230 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-07-24 | MISSOURIANS FOR TRUTH PAC | opposes_independently | $16,809 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-07-24 | MISSOURIANS FOR TRUTH PAC | contributed_to | $16,809 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-22 | CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC | contributed_to | $295,920 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-22 | CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC | opposes_independently | $13,150 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-07-22 | CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC | opposes_independently | $295,920 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-07-22 | MISSOURIANS FOR TRUTH PAC | opposes_independently | $4,309 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-07-22 | MISSOURIANS FOR TRUTH PAC | opposes_independently | $12,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-07-22 | MISSOURIANS FOR TRUTH PAC | opposes_independently | $4,309 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-07-22 | MISSOURIANS FOR TRUTH PAC | opposes_independently | $12,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-07-22 | CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC | contributed_to | $13,150 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-22 | MISSOURIANS FOR TRUTH PAC | contributed_to | $4,309 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-22 | MISSOURIANS FOR TRUTH PAC | contributed_to | $4,309 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-22 | MISSOURIANS FOR TRUTH PAC | contributed_to | $12,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-22 | MISSOURIANS FOR TRUTH PAC | contributed_to | $12,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-21 | OWNER-OPERATOR INDEPENDENT DRIVERS ASSN INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AKA OOIDA-PAC) | contributed_to | $750 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-20 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | supports_independently | $8,851 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-07-20 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | contributed_to | $8,851 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-18 | CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC | opposes_independently | $100,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-07-18 | CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC | contributed_to | $100,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-14 | CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC | contributed_to | $295,920 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-14 | CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC | opposes_independently | $13,150 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-07-14 | CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC | opposes_independently | $295,920 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-07-14 | CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC | contributed_to | $13,150 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-13 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | supports_independently | $230 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-07-13 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | contributed_to | $101 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-13 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | contributed_to | $230 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-13 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | supports_independently | $101 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-07-11 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | contributed_to | $8,238 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-11 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | contributed_to | $1,878 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-11 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | supports_independently | $1,878 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-07-11 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | supports_independently | $8,238 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-07-11 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | supports_independently | $17,791 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-07-11 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | supports_independently | $576,424 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-07-11 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | contributed_to | $576,423 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-11 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | contributed_to | $17,790 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-04 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 |
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | RICK BRATTIN FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | RICK BRATTIN FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |