MOON, MIKE

R · house

FEC candidate id: H2MO07135
Internal id: 6b516c87-5e0d-4a14-9900-ce0480336561
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MO-07. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	785,302
People	Median age	39
Income	Median household income	$63,127
Income	Per-capita income	$34,513
Income	In poverty	14.0%
Income	Unemployed	3.9%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.456
Race	White alone	85.7%
Race	Black alone	1.9%
Race	Asian alone	1.4%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	6.5%
Race	Two or more races	7.8%
Origin	Foreign-born	3.8%
Language	Speaks English only at home	93.6%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	3.5%
Education	High school or higher	59.5%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	27.7%
Education	Advanced degree	10.0%
Household	Family households	63.6%
Household	Avg household size	2.42
Household	Never married (15+)	28.4%
Housing	Median home value	$214,300
Housing	Median gross rent	$961
Housing	Single-family detached	71.3%
Housing	Built before 1940	3.0%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.4%
Housing	Vacant units	10.9%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.7%
Health	With a disability	15.4%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	87.4%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	7.9%
Commute	Drove alone	76.7%
Commute	Public transit	0.3%
Commute	Worked from home	10.2%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2022	$177,671	$177,671	$0	$0	$163,871

Elections

2022 general house · MO-7 — lost_general

Committees

MIKE MOON FOR CONGRESS 2022 — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$0	$273,269	7

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2022-07-22	CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC	oppose	$19,323	DIRECT MAIL: PRINTING AND POSTAGE
2022-07-19	CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC	oppose	$19,323	DIRECT MAIL: PRINTING AND POSTAGE
2022-07-19	CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC	oppose	$43,750	DIGITAL ADVERTISING
2022-07-18	CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC	oppose	$19,323	DIRECT MAIL: PRINTING AND POSTAGE
2022-07-14	CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC	oppose	$150,300	PLACED MEDIA: TV
2022-07-14	CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC	oppose	$16,500	PRODUCTION COST: TV AND RADIO ADS
2022-07-14	CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC	oppose	$4,750	PLACED MEDIA: RADIO

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-07-11	WINRED	24K	$-1
2022-04-19	WINRED	24K	$-25
2021-11-02	WINRED	24K	$-100

Connected on the graph

Inbound (10)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-07-22	CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC	opposes_independently	$19,323	fec_ies
2022-07-19	CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC	opposes_independently	$19,323	fec_ies
2022-07-19	CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC	opposes_independently	$43,750	fec_ies
2022-07-18	CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC	opposes_independently	$19,323	fec_ies
2022-07-14	CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC	opposes_independently	$4,750	fec_ies
2022-07-14	CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC	opposes_independently	$16,500	fec_ies
2022-07-14	CONSERVATIVE AMERICANS PAC	opposes_independently	$150,300	fec_ies
2022-07-11	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-04-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2021-11-02	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	MIKE MOON FOR CONGRESS 2022	—		candidate_committees

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