MCCALLIAN, RANDI MCCALLIAN

D · house

FEC candidate id: H2MO08091
Internal id: f75db315-e809-48d7-b03d-5965a3ecc314
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MO-08. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	772,835
People	Median age	40
Income	Median household income	$60,159
Income	Per-capita income	$31,689
Income	In poverty	15.5%
Income	Unemployed	3.9%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.450
Race	White alone	87.8%
Race	Black alone	3.8%
Race	Asian alone	0.9%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	2.6%
Race	Two or more races	6.5%
Origin	Foreign-born	1.8%
Language	Speaks English only at home	97.2%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	1.1%
Education	High school or higher	58.4%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	20.8%
Education	Advanced degree	7.5%
Household	Family households	65.4%
Household	Avg household size	2.48
Household	Never married (15+)	28.6%
Housing	Median home value	$181,400
Housing	Median gross rent	$806
Housing	Single-family detached	74.8%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.5%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.8%
Housing	Vacant units	13.0%
Service	Veterans (18+)	8.1%
Health	With a disability	18.6%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	86.8%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	10.5%
Commute	Drove alone	79.7%
Commute	Public transit	0.2%
Commute	Worked from home	7.9%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$0	$146	$0	$0	$0
2024	$52,669	$60,932	$146	$0	$47,675
2022	$45,874	$38,440	$8,409	$0	$42,929

Elections

2022 general house · MO-8 — lost_general
2024 general house · MO-8 — lost_general

Committees

COMMITTEE TO ELECT RANDI MCCALLIAN FOR MO-08 — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$2,000	$0	1

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	support	$2,000	Billboard

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-01-26	COMMUNICATIONS WORKERS OF AMERICA - COPE POLITI…	24K	$-2,000
2022-10-17	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	24E	$2,000
2022-09-22	NATIONAL FEDERATION OF DEMOCRATIC WOMEN PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-08-08	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	24K	$1,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (5)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	supports_independently	$2,000	fec_ies
2026-01-26	COMMUNICATIONS WORKERS OF AMERICA - COPE POLITICAL CONTRIBUTIONS COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-2,000	pas2
2022-10-17	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-22	NATIONAL FEDERATION OF DEMOCRATIC WOMEN PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-08-08	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	COMMITTEE TO ELECT RANDI MCCALLIAN FOR MO-08	—		candidate_committees

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